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  • Everything you need to know about the lean startup

    The lean startup ultimate guide – Everything you need to know about the lean startup

    Welcome to the ultimate guide to the lean startup. Launching a new company, be it a hi-tech startup company, small or medium-sized family company or a business initiative inside a big organization, always included a series of hit‑or‑miss hypotheses about customers, the market, price policy and other business aspects.

    According to recommendation’s that were used in entrepreneurship for decades, the best framework for successfully analysing these hypotheses was preparing a business plan, followed by obtaining investors, building a team, building a product and finally following the goal of reaching the highest possible sales.

    Building by following this methodology, called the traditional new-product development model, doesn’t work in entrepreneurs’ favour. According to the research of the Harvard Business School, more than 75 % of companies started this way fail.

    In the past decade, a new set of methodologies and recommendations arose as an answer to this big risk of startup company failure, and they strongly decrease this risk.

    It’s the lean startup company methodology, favouring experimentation over business planning, immediate customer feedback over the entrepreneur’s intuition, and gradual cyclical and agile product development in collaboration with the market (based on the build – measure – learn cycle).

    The lean startup methodology, together with concepts such as “pivot” and “minimum viable product”, are increasingly in use, amongst new-age startups as well as in study programmes at the best global business schools and big companies, namely everywhere where a new product needs to be developed in highly uncertain circumstances.

    The lean startup - the ultimate guide

    1. The traditional new-product development model

    The traditional new-product development model, presented in Steve Blank’s Book The Startup Owner’s Manual and The Four Steps to the Epiphany as a no longer effective model for startups, developed from the general concept of manufacturing and the basic process of manufacturing various new or improved products.

    The traditional new-product development model is thoroughly established in the business world and is successfully serving mostly mature companies, where the customers and their problems are well-known, the competition is known and understood, and the specifications of the product and its improvements are clearly defined.

    Traditonal product development

    The traditional new-product introduction model consists of four key stages:

    • Concept and business planning: In this stage, the business team defines its vision and describes the business idea, which becomes the basis for preparing a business plan. Through individual chapters of business planning, the foundations of business strategy are defined, from defining the specifications of the product and carrying out marketing research to preparing a marketing plan and all up to financial projections with detailed predictions of how financial results will be achieved.
    • Development: In the development stage, planning and discussing stops completely, and hard work begins. A functional organization is formed in the company, where development engineers take care of product manufacture, marketing and sales implement various focus groups, prepare marketing materials and similar.
    • Testing: Passing into the testing stage includes collaboration with a small group of users whose task is to test the product to see if it works perfectly. Marketing materials are completed, suitable external co-workers are hired, such as a PR agency, new people responsible for sales are employed, and everything is finally prepared for the first real product sales on the market.
    • Market launch: In the last stage, the product is launched on the market, with big costs of marketing and advertising as well as opening events, the purpose of which is to create enough demand. Sales start being measured, and it is soon shown how truly interesting the product is for the market.

    What’s problematic with this model is that the large majority of products, even though they have extremely good quality, are not interesting for the market. Nobody wants to buy the built products.

    The main reason for this is the conviction that the business team knows exactly what they’re doing, what customers want, and which product functionalities customers need or which functionalities are the key competitive advantage on the market.

    Thus the business team focuses exclusively on deadlines for launching the product to the market based on a business plan, and the team’s work only emphasizes good implementation, not learning about the market and customers, and quickly adapting to their needs.

    The key entrepreneurship question, when we’re talking about traditional new product development is what if the business team doesn’t know exactly what customers need and the market wants.

    Traditional new-product development also doesn’t allow trying, mistakes and adjusting the direction (of the vision and strategies).

    Blindly following the plan and clearly divided responsibilities based on the functional organizational structure (department for development, quality control, marketing, sales etc.) don’t only lead to focusing exclusively on implementation but also often to unsuitable measurement of the newly founded company’s progress (focus exclusively on accounting metrics), wasting resources, and too early rapid growth.

    The fact is that no business plan survives the first contact with customers, so we urgently need a different approach than blindly following a plan that’s based on untested hypotheses of the business team.

    Startups usually don’t fail because they don’t know how to make a quality working product, but because of a lack of customers and a business model that doesn’t work.

    When startups launch a new product to the market, it turns out again and again that the transition from a few early customers to the mass market isn’t possible, that the product or service aren’t solving a real problem, or that the distribution costs are simply too high.

    So the main business challenge isn’t to make a product based on a business idea, but to systematically get feedback from the market about whether the product is even interesting for potential customers.

    The problem of traditional new-product development is that it’s most often based on untested hypotheses that the business team has about the market and customers, and it doesn’t enable rapid adjustments of the vision, strategies and functionalities of the product to the customers.

    It also leads to many other business mistakes, such as wasting resources, developing functionalities no one is prepared to pay for (waste), and setting weak foundations for a young company.

    1.1. Weaknesses of business planning

    Within the first stage of the traditional new-product introduction model, the first step is preparing the concept and planning company launch, which includes preparing a business plan.

    The business plan is where the business team writes its hypotheses, and it becomes the fundamental document of the company, which is why it has an especially visible role in the traditional new-product introduction model.

    Writing a business plan is good practice for an entrepreneur, but it usually doesn’t include a conversation with people who are key for company success – customers. Most starting plans turn out to be wrong in practice, so the entrepreneur needs something that isn’t as rigid as a business plan.

    If an entrepreneur spends a couple of weeks or months on writing a 60-page long document that’s based on untested hypotheses, this can only be a waste time and other resources.

    In accordance with lean production, on which the lean startup is based, waste is any activity of the entrepreneur that wastes resources and doesn’t create actual value (something customers are prepared to pay for).

    The most important question for the entrepreneur is whether the new company is progressing in the direction of a successful, long-term sustainable business operation. A common wrong measure for this progress is progressing according to the business plan and the set time and financial goal.

    Such measurement is problematic because the plan is often set wrongly due to big uncertainty and untested assumptions. Product manufacture can be planned for a product that no one will wish to buy in the end.

    No matter how well-prepared the business plan is, if it plans to manufacture a product that isn’t interesting for the market, then the business plan is practically without value.

    The main actual weaknesses of the business plan can thus be summed up in the following points:

    • Reality rarely unfolds according to plans.
    • If entrepreneurial success means trying and discovering approaches that don’t work, how can the entrepreneur then even prepare a relevant business plan.
    • At the beginning, the entrepreneur doesn’t really have an idea of how the company will even look in the future, because the company develops together with market demand.
    • Nearly no one reads business plans anymore, not even venture capital investors. The most successful global investors claim that business plans are too long and that successful flexible companies adapt to the market faster than it takes to read a business plan.
    • 5-year planning is impossible and pointless. Even yearly planning is problematic and that much more impossible in the long term.
    • In the real world, most business plans don’t survive the first contact with customers. The environment changes too quickly and a business plan is nothing but a bunch of untested hypotheses.
    • In a world of high uncertainty, it’s incredibly difficult to plan, so it is crucial to adapt and improvise.

    The value added of a business plan has decreased mostly with the change of the environment, which became significantly more unpredictable and rapidly changing. In such an environment, planning (especially long-term planning) is a thankless task.

    This is why it’s incredibly important to understand these changes of the business environment and the laws of today’s markets, so that we can better understand the need for new methodologies of launching a newly founded company.

    Tech changes

    1.2. Transition into a complex knowledge society

    The most advanced nations today are in the so-called post-information economy or the knowledge economy (society), where innovation and creativity are crucial for success. In this, information and knowledge are tools for creativity as the central component element of innovation.

    Thus the most advanced geographic areas marked with a high measure of creativity have three key elements (3T – technology, talent, tolerance), namely these are rapid technological development, a high concentration of talented (educated, entrepreneurial, ambitious) individuals, and a high level of tolerance (to diversity, difference and failure).

    Tolerance has a big influence on accepting diversity and entrepreneurial risk. Those environments that significantly stand out in these criteria can be said to have an incredibly strong creative class.

    As an interesting fact, California reaches incredibly high positions in all three elements (technology, talent, tolerance), so it’s not weird that lean methods originate exactly from the best local private university Stanford.

    Across the world, there are more and more geographic hubs driven by the creative class, and with help of globalization and global connection a hypercompetitive global business environment is being created.

    Hypercompetition is marked by uncertainty, market instability, rapid non-linear technological development, and a short lifespan of competitive advantages. And hypercompetition is driven by the creative class.

    Globalization is what led to hypercompetitiveness, together with rapid technological development, rise of transnational corporations, political liberalization of markets, strong demand on global and local markets, low entrance barriers, and a large number of providers (strong competition).

    In technology, as one of the strongest accelerators of these changes, we mostly have to highlight communication and information technologies as well as a significant drop in transport costs. The central dynamics of the new economy (knowledge society) is thus an unstoppable cycle of competing, innovating and raising productivity.

    Consequently, the following are some of the extremely important business, social and other trends for all entrepreneurs, brought about by the creative economy and hypercompetition:

    • a large number of products on the market and complete market saturation, amongst which we must especially emphasize the incredibly big offer of cheap goods (a good example of this is the choice between dozens of different cereal types on shopping shelves),
    • customers are highly informed and participate in the market,
    • completely new forms of global company organization,
    • high marketing buzz,
    • high level of individualization (the so-called egonomy),
    • high level of interactivity (connection between technological devices and their omnipresence),
    • work specialization (and the rise of the creative class),
    • knowledge has become the most important good (talent),
    • rise of cities (where technology, talent and tolerance are concentrated),
    • consumers are mostly interested in fun and new experiences.

    It’s the new age we all live in, with all the pros and cons. Brand Cooper goes even a step further and says that today, we live in the so-called value economy. The company that consistently creates the most value for a certain market wins. This goes for established companies as well as for young, newly founded companies.

    A fact that should be especially emphasized is that customers have special power in the value economy. Customers demand products that exceed all their expectations, they wish to have a personal relationship with the provider and to be treated respectfully but above all, they want to influence the design and further development of the product.

    The recommended strategy for companies that compete in a hypercompetitive environment is thus that they develop internal abilities for facing rapid changes, meaning that the organization needs to become (or stay) flexible, dynamic, adaptable, and learn constantly. This is all the more true for newly founded companies.

    1.3. Lean startup – answer to changes in the environment

    If an entrepreneur wishes to create a truly successful product and company, their key task is to reduce various risks. Entrepreneurship is a risky business, and as such one of the key missions of entrepreneurs is to gradually and systematically eliminate risks. The key in this is that when developing a product, the entrepreneur focuses on the biggest risks first.

    As mentioned before, the biggest risk in newly founded companies is rarely the manufacture of the product or solution. In today’s times of cheap manufacture, the entrepreneur can very quickly create a product with enough time, money and effort.

    The biggest risk for entrepreneurs is that they’ll create a product that absolutely no one wants to buy. When the entrepreneur is in the beginning, they only have a hunch about the problem that potential customers face, a suitable solution and maybe even the most logical customer segment.

    Exactly because they are only entrepreneur’s hunches, developing the solution too quickly, choosing the customer segment or even the entire business model too early can most often lead to failure.

    A good plan, solid strategy and implementation of a marketing plan seem like the right strategy at the first glance, because these are the things that successful big companies have. But applying these traditional tools to newly created companies doesn’t make sense, because the latter face too much uncertainty.

    The bigger the uncertainty, the more difficult it is to predict the future. This is why planning can be exact only when it’s based on a long, stable history of the company in a relatively stable environment, which doesn’t apply to newly created companies.

    If entrepreneurs build a product that no one will want to buy, it makes absolutely no difference if it’s made on schedule and with planned resources. This statement clearly indicates the fact that the fundamental task of the entrepreneur is to learn which product to make at all – that is the product for which customers are prepared to pay, and in the shortest possible time.

    As an answer to complex and quick changes in the environment, the so-called new methodology of building a new company developed, called the lean startup.

    The lean startup is a new look on the development of innovative products, emphasizing quick iterations of product development based on new insights into the customers’ wishes, and simultaneously including big visions and high ambitions of the business team.

    In modern economy, the question “Can this be built?” isn’t important anymore, because nearly any product can be built, since enough means of production are available.

    Significantly more important questions in the modern economy are whether a certain product should be built and whether it is possible to build a long-term sustainable business model around the product.

    Manufacture capacities of developed countries are significantly bigger and more developed than the knowledge of what exactly the markets want. With manufacturing capacities reaching the point where we can manufacture nearly anything we can think of, the question of whether we can make a new product or service isn’t in the foreground anymore, but rather whether it makes sense to build it and if it is profitable.

    For all lean startups, it is thus of necessary that they let go, as soon as possible, of the wrong assumption that they can exactly describe history, even more exactly predict or plan the future and thus co-create it.

    What should come to the forefront is the realization that the assumptions of the entrepreneur or the business team about the market, customers and their problems are wrong at first, and only by trying, measuring and discovering patterns with a scientific method can they become true.

    The history of successful startups in modern times teaches us that by far the most important factor for the business success of new as well as established companies is a desire for testing, verifying assumptions on the market, learning based on small failures, and looking for the right combination of a problem, solution and market, which brings the final big success.

    Customers are what makes the product into a success story. Without customers who are prepared to buy the product, it isn’t important how innovative an idea is or how affordable a product is, because the company will fail.

    In this, there is the important realization that bigger uncertainty doesn’t only bring disadvantages and challenges to long-term business planning. Bigger uncertainty is also an opportunity, because uncertainty and innovation go hand in hand.

    Without the first, there is no opportunity for the second. Disruptive innovations can happen in an environment where the final product, value offer, marketing, sales channels and (most importantly) price are at most informed guesswork, but more likely a complete unknown.

    1.4. Different types of startups and markets

    Before we delve into the basic concepts of lean startups, we need to emphasize the fact that not all startups are the same, and neither are the markets that they address, which means that lean launch methods aren’t suitable for all newly created companies.

    The type of market and startup changes the suitability of using different business tools and approaches for company launch, making it necessary for the business team to first exactly define which market type they are addressing and which company type they wish to build.

    1.4.1. Five market types

    Steve Blank divides markets, addressed by startups, into the following five types:

    1. New product for an existing market
    2. New product for a completely new market
    3. Resegmentation of the existing market with a low-price product
    4. Resegmentation of the existing market with a niche entrance
    5. Cloning a business model that is successful in another country

    When a startup launches a product to an already known existing market, traditional planning methods and preparing a business plan work just fine. The problem appears when a startup targets a new or resegmented market, where customers, channels and markets aren’t well‑known yet or are an unknown.

    And most startups with a potential for rapid growth address such a market. Addressing a new market means that a startup’s solution will enable the customers to do something that couldn’t be done by now, and that the startup wishes to create something completely new, yet unknown, meaning that there are that much more unknowns and risks, connected to launching a new solution.

    Different types of markets and suitability of using the lean startup methodology

    Market type Suitability lean startup
    New product – existing market No
    New product – new market Yes
    Low-price resegmentation Yes
    Niche resegmentation Yes
    Cloning a business model No

    1.4.2. Six types of startups

    Besides the five different market types, you also need to know six different types of startups, which are directly linked to the vision of the company and the type of market that the startup addresses.

    We know the following six types of startups (segmentation suggested by Steve Blank):

    1. Startup with the goal of satisfying the lifestyle of the founders, who are living out their passion (for example teaching surfing).
    2. Micro and small newly created businesses, whose primary motive isn’t capital gain but rather decent income, with the purpose of putting food on the family table (for example a hairdressing salon, family specialized store etc.).
    3. Startups with the potential for rapid growth (for example mobile apps).
    4. Social companies, whose primary purpose is to create big social value and change the world to the better.
    5. Big companies and corporations, which need to follow the philosophy of “innovate or die”, so there are similar processes to startups inside corporations.
    6. Scalable startups, founded with the purpose of growing and becoming big companies. The founders’ motive isn’t income but rather lies in profit and in increasing the value of the ownership share. They usually address new and resegmented markets.
    Startup type Suitability of lean startup
    Lifestyle startup Rarely
    Micro and small businesses Rarely
    Potential for rapid growth Depends on the market
    Social companies Depends on the market
    Big companies and corporations For launching new products
    Scalable startups Yes

    Each of the five different types of markets and six different types of startups demands a different business team, different financing sources, and includes different growth and profitability goals.

    The startup team should not only clearly define the type of the market and the company they wish to build, it is that much important for them to find answers to several key questions that help define the market, vision of the business team, and other key elements of the newly created company, such as:

    • which problems does the product solve,
    • are these problems really painful for the customer,
    • who exactly is the customer,
    • what will be the profitability of individual customer and similar.

    First of all, there needs to be the awareness that startups aren’t only small versions of big companies, which is a common false belief. Established and big companies are meant to implement the known, while startups are looking for a suitable business model.

    Second of all, the startup team is often convinced that they already know the information about the market and the customers (since everything is written in the business plan), but usually that is nothing but a bunch of untested assumptions that can turn out to be wrong.

    Write a business plan, build a product, and customers will come on their own isn’t a strategy, but rather a naïve hope, especially in cases where the market and the customers aren’t known.

    The first orientation within lean startup methodologies is thus for the business team to clearly define the type of company it wishes to build, and the type of market it’s addressing, on this, they can decide if lean methods are even suitable or not.

    2. Basics of the lean startup concept

    Lean startup (wiki) is a term introduced by Eric Ries and similarly to what the vehicle production system Toyota does, it connects customer development, methods of agile product development, and lean business practices.

    In this, an important starting point is Ries’ definition of a lean startup, which says that a lean startup is nothing other than an institution of people, organized with the purpose of making a new product or service in incredibly uncertain circumstances.

    The definition clearly shows that the lean startup includes the launch of a new product in uncertain circumstances, which means that lean startup methodologies are suitable for newly created companies as well as for big companies, and we shouldn’t forget about government institutions, non-profit organizations and other examples where new products or services are developed in such uncertain circumstances.

    The lean startup methodology is based on the fact that a business plan is nothing but a collection of assumptions. The document includes only assumptions about the strategy that the company should probably follow to achieve its vision.

    The main goal of the business team in lean startup is thus to first organize its activities in a way to check these assumptions without losing the company’s vision with it.

    Startups do not exist solely for the purpose of creating new products, becoming profitable and taking care of their customers, rather their mission is to learn how to build a long-term sustainable business around their idea.

    Lean startup is a temporary form of an organization developed with the purpose of using suitable systematic learning about the market to find a repeatable and scalable business model with the potential for rapid growth.

    Achieving a repeatable and scalable business model means that a startup has a developed sales team with a clearly defined price policy that regularly sells the solution to a known segment of customers.

    A long-term sustainable model with the potential for rapid growth means that a startup can obtain a large number of customers, not only some, and that every additional customer increases the profitability of the company. The path to this point isn’t easy and simple, and it demands a lot of learning.

    This means that the business model in the lean startup is still a complete unknown and it has to be “discovered”. We can consequently differentiate between two types of activities.

    The first type of activities focuses on finding a suitable business model, which is the lean startup’s task, and the second type on implementing an already discovered business model, wherein traditional methods of business planning, organizing and leading the company are an option (for established companies).

    In the early stages of company growth, focusing on implementation based on wrong assumptions is what usually leads to a quick collapse of a newly created company.

    This is why it is necessary to focus on learning and discovering insights into customers and the market through a carefully designed process that clearly shows what exactly needs to be implemented for the company to become successful and profitable.

    Difference between a lean startup and an established company

    Lean startup Established company
    Looking for a repeatable and scalable business model Implementing a known working business model

    Looking for the right business model is divided into several stages of the process called customer development and includes:

    1. Customer discovery
    2. Customer validation
    3. Customer creation
    4. A transition from a lean startup to a mature company that focuses on growing and implementing an already discovered business model.

    In the stage of searching, it is necessary to maintain complete flexibility and high tolerance for failure, in the foreground are mostly learning about the market and customers.

    This also means that it doesn’t make sense to organize a lean startup in a traditional functional organizational structure, but rather the founders should be surrounded mostly by a team that’s carrying out the process of discovering and validating customers.

    Besides a team that’s created to carry out the process of discovering and validating customers, the lean startup has to form another team, namely the team for rapidly developing the product’s functionalities.

    Gaining insight into what the market and customers want doesn’t make sense if new iterations of the (minimum viable) product aren’t being developed in accordance with the feedback, enabling new and repeated tests.

    This rapid development should mostly take place based on agile methodologies of management and new product development.

    So the lean startup doesn’t form its organizational structure according to the traditional functional form (development, marketing, sales, finances etc.), instead two teams are formed around the founders of the company and they have an exactly set purpose and goal – develop the right product for the right market in close interaction with customers.

    Tight collaboration between both teams is incredibly important: there shouldn’t be friction between them, as they should both constructively and transparently follow the common goal of developing a product that customers will actually be prepared to buy.

    Organization of a lean startup compared to a traditional organizational structure

    Traditional functional organization Lean startup organization
    Department for …

    • Management
    • Development
    • Marketing
    • Sales
    • Finance
    • Other functions
    • Team for discovering and validating customers
    • Team for rapidly developing new iterations and versions of the minimum viable product

    In doing so, each newly formed business team has to realize that failure is part of looking for a working business model, which is why you should constantly do pivots and adapt business operations based on the feedback from the market and potential customers.

    The fundamental concept of lean startups can thus be summarized in the statement: don’t sell what you can make, make what you can sell.

    2.1. Short history of the lean startup

    The lean startup originated in the revolution of lean manufacturing and lean thinking, developed by Taiichi Ohno and Shigeo Shingo in Toyota.

    The concept of lean manufacturing and lean thinking completely changed the method of manufacturing and delivery, with approaches such as encouraging the innovativeness of industrial workers, reducing the number of manufactured products in a series, meticulous control of supply, just-in-time manufacture, and accelerating manufacturing cycles.

    Lean manufacturing and lean thinking are dedicated mostly to a strict distinction between value added and wasting company’s resources, and how to systematically ensure product quality. Lean manufacturing and lean thinking are today especially known under the name “The Toyota Way”. The book with the same title was the first book to introduce such lean thinking outside Japan.

    The toyota way

    The content of the book is focused on how companies can significantly improve their processes by eliminating the waste of resources, systematically taking care of product quality, as well as by searching for low-budget alternatives to expensive high technology, perfecting company processes, and building a learning organization that’s constantly improving.

    Tools used by lean manufacturing or that stem from it are Kanban (work visualization), 5S methodology, Kaizen – continuous improvement, PDCA cycle, 5-Whys, Six Stigma, just-in-time manufacturing, and many other approaches. The lean startup transfers this philosophy from the field of manufacturing to the field of launching new companies.

    The term lean is here often misunderstood as “cheap”. Lean means you eliminate the unnecessary and use resources effectively, so this explanation isn’t completely wrong by itself, because one of the resources is money. But with a lean startup, we further strive to optimize the use of the resource we have the least of – time.

    If we are even more exact, the goal of the entrepreneur is to get to know as much as possible about the customers in a short amount of time. Thus with the lean startup, it’s very clearly defined what wasting resources means, that is directing resources into anything that doesn’t bring value to customers, and value is exclusively what customers are prepared to use and pay for.

    Such a waste of resources can include writing a business plan.

    3. Key techniques and tools of the lean startup

    The lean startup is thus a temporary organization founded for quick, active learning about the market and customers. Important elements of a quickly learning organization is that it puts concrete data before rhetoric, testing before implementation, and its customers before a business plan.

    A quickly learning organization constantly does experiments with the purpose of reducing risks, uses concrete data for solving internal conflicts, and is in constant interaction with existing customers and potential customers in order to understand them as well as possible.

    The lean startup does all this before it even has a complete product. How?

    Traditonal product development

    3.1. Three stages of a lean startup

    Every startup goes through three exactly defined stages, namely these are:

    1. stage of the problem/solution fit,
    2. stage of product/market fit, and
    3. growth stage.

    The second stage, so the stage of the product/market fit, is the most important milestone for every startup. Reaching this milestone strongly affects the strategy and method of leading the company.

    This is why it makes sense for the startup to divide building the company into a period “before product/market fit” and period “after product/market fit”.

    In the stage before “product/market fit”, it’s important for a startup to focus its activities on learning and pivoting the business model canvas. After the completed “product/market fit” stage, it makes sense for the startup to start focusing mostly on growth of the company and optimization of business processes.

    The following are the three stages of the startup, amongst which the second stage is the first important milestone:

    • Problem/solution fit: The first stage of a startup is called the problem/solution fit. In this stage, the startup decides whether it is trying to solve a problem that’s even worth solving. By doing this, the startup avoids the trap of spending months or even years developing something that nobody wants. Even though business ideas are cheap and there are a lot of them, their implementation can be rather expensive. That’s why concrete facts need to be chosen, showing that the right problem is being solved and that the business idea is reasonable. In the problem/solution fit stage, the startup should have a clear answer to three questions, namely whether the solution is something that customers need and want, are they prepared to pay for the solution and, of course, is the problem technically solvable. In this stage, the startup makes the minimum viable product.
    • Product/market fit: The second stage is called product/market fit, in which the startup tests the reliability of the product and the attractiveness of the product for sales. In this stage, the startup goes from testing different business models to a plan that works, meaning that the startup is regularly acquiring customers that make repeated purchases and are prepared to pay for the solution regularly. In this stage, the lean startup thoroughly knows the key functionalities of the product that the market is prepared to pay for and that solve key problems for customers.
    • Growth: The third stage is the stage of increasing the scope of business operations or the so-called growth. In this stage, the startup focuses its attention on increasing the scope of the business model. The lean startup increases the scope of the business model by using suitable mechanisms of marketing, sales and sales channels, and by choosing a suitable engine of growth.

    The end of the problem/solution fit can be called business idea confirmation, the end of the product/market fit can be called value hypothesis confirmation.

    And for rapid growth, confirmation of marketing, sales and engines of growth are needed (growth hypothesis). In this, it is crucial that the lean startup systematically establishes the collection of feedback (metrics) from the market or customers in every stage.

    Four stages of customer development

    Customer development Fit Validation
    1. Customer discovery Problem/solution fit Idea confirmation
    2. Customer validation Product/market fit Product confirmation
    3. Customer creation Growth Confirmation of engines of growth
    4. Building a traditional functional business organization

    The stage of discovering and validating customers (1st and 2nd stage of customer development) includes defining the consecutive steps that the lean startup follows when looking for a working business model. Steve Blank defines the steps as:

    • Phase 1: Write down the vision and hypotheses on a canvas
    • Phase 2: Test the problem
    • Phase 3: Test the product solution
    • Phase 4: Confirm the assumptions or pivot

    First, the lean startup team writes down its vision and hypotheses by using the lean or business model canvas. Then it tests the problem and solution by using the concept of the minimum viable product and out-of-the-building learning.

    All this enables validated learning based on the build – measure – learn feedback loop. Validated learning means that the company decides to confirm or reject assumptions written in the canvas based on concrete innovation metrics, and then decides to either keep the business strategy or pivot.

    In doing so, it is necessary for the business team of the lean startup to focus mostly on the problem (not the solution), namely on the smallest possible problem that it can solve and for which customers are prepared to pay.

    A niche approach is crucial, and if the entrepreneur becomes the first in a niche, they then have the option of expanding with a leverage, because they know customers better than the competition. Besides focusing on the problem, the vision of the business team is definitely incredibly important, and flexibility in business strategy should be kept around it.

    3.2. Vision of the lean startup

    Even though the lean startup represents a new business methodology and approach, at the beginning the business team (or startup team) needs a big vision (as it is written in the business plan) that defines any type of a blooming business that entrepreneurs wish to build.

    To achieve that vision, the startup team needs a starting vision that includes a business model (devised on a lean or business model canvas), plan of product development, strategic look into potential partners and competition, and a rough idea of who the potential customers could be.

    Examples of questions that help to define company’s vision:

    • How will the company contribute to the industry?
    • How will the company change people’ lives?
    • How big could the company become?
    • How big the team wants the company to become?
    • How many products there will be?
    • What will be the core competence of the company?

    Building a product is the final result of the vision and strategy. But in doing this, the startup team constantly supplements, upgrades and changes the product through optimization.

    The startup team changes the strategy with a pivot if that is needed based on the feedback by customers and market, but the vision of the team rarely changes significantly or only parts of it change.

    The lean startup’s vision stays more or less the same final goal, but the path to it is flexible. In some way, the task of the startup team is to find synthesis between the business vision and what customers are prepared to buy.

    So the goal of the lean startup is to use scientifically devised experiments to discover and learn how to build a long-term business around the vision of the business team. Considering that the vision of the lean startup is very viable, it is often called the minimum viable vision.

    On the one hand, the business team must always have a pragmatic and practical approach rooted in the reality of metrics, but on the other hand it needs a vision that is exciting, daring, unshakable and attractive for founders.

    The minimum viable vision is what provides an exciting explanation of why the lean startup will become the dominant and disruptive player on the market. It often includes a lot more than only empty illusions of the business team.

    The minimum viable vision reflects concrete exciting facts, for example that a new business ecosystem is being built around the company or that there are several options for monetizing the idea, marginal costs that lean towards zero, trends support the vision, it isn’t hard to set a pricing strategy, and other concrete facts that show a business opportunity.

    After defining the vision and consequently the type of company and the type of market, there is the step of writing down hypotheses (assumptions) in the lean canvas, followed by verifying hypotheses on the market with actual customers, first by focusing on the size of the problem and suitability of the solution.

    The Golden Circle

    3.2.1. Start with why

    The big vision must also include a clear answer to why the vision is important to founders. According to Simon Sinek, every great company must start with why.

    The general idea is that a startup team to find powerful why that gives their work a deeper meaning and makes everything else secondary. A powerful why gets team motivated and enthusiastic, and an enthusiastic team is always personally invested and stays like that much longer.

    The more clearly an organization describes and communicates their why, the more people will like it, and that goes for all stakeholders, especially customers. The truth is that people don’t buy what people make, they buy things for why people make them.

    The founders should have a clear answer on the questions like:

    1. Why are we making this?
    2. Why doesn’t this exist already?
    3. Why us?
    4. Why now?
    5. Why do people need this product?
    6. Why will people want this product?
    7. Why will people pay for this?
    8. Why will this make people do/feel/be, what they want to do/feel/be?
    9. Why would people buy from our competitors?
    10. Why will people cross the street to buy from us?
    11. Why does this idea matter?

    3.3. Lean canvas and business model canvas

    An alternative method of business planning inside the concept of the lean startup, enabling the team to regularly verify assumptions and quickly adapt the business idea to the market, is called using a business model or lean canvas.

    Because the business model needs to be turned on its head several times, it makes a lot more sense to use the lean canvas or business model canvas instead of traditional business planning. The use of the lean canvas is what enables the transition from a static business plan into dynamic adjustment of the business model.

    The main idea behind using a canvas instead of a business plan is the option of displaying the business model in a portable single-page schematic. Two main canvases are most in use, namely the business model canvas, designed by Alexander Osterwalder in the book Business Model Generation, and the lean canvas, which Ash Maurya derived from the business model canvas.

    By using the canvas, the startup team can very quickly and efficiently find potential business models, set priorities, and follow continuous learning based on the build – measure – learn feedback cycle.

    The business model canvas allows the business team to avoid many weaknesses of business planning, such as time-consuming long texts, unclearly written assumptions, long‑term planning etc.

    The key advantages of using the canvas instead of the business plan are mostly the following:

    • Speed – Compared to the business plan, which the startup team can spend several months writing, it is possible to sketch several business models on the canvas in a single afternoon.
    • Succinctness – The way that the canvas is designed allows the startup team to focus on the key elements of business operations and extract the essence of its product. Succinctness is achieved with clear visualization of the business model by using a frame (in lean manufacturing, this visualization is known as the Kanban philosophy).
    • Portability – The business model that’s presented on one page in the scope of the canvas is a lot easier to share with other stakeholders of the lean startup. That means that more people read it and that the frame is easier to update than a business plan.

    The lean or business model canvas don’t only represent a record of the currently planned business model of the company in a certain moment. Using them also enables the team to monitor the progress in finding a working business model, and to keep an eye on the state of confirmation or rejection of assumptions.

    This is why it’s incredibly important that the team of the lean startup refreshes the lean or business model canvas at least weekly. It is necessary to regularly write down assumptions, confirm or reject them, write down new assumptions, and clearly show the adaptation of the strategy.

    Business Model Canvas
    Business Model Canvas, Click to Enlarge

    3.3.1. Business model canvas

    The business model canvas was devised by Alexander Osterwalder. Using the frame allows you to present how the company will generate money with a diagram structure and clear visualization.

    The diagram structure, which can be used by all types of organizations for writing down key hypotheses and rapidly designing business models, including lean startups, encompasses nine frames:

    • Value proposition – Value proposition defines the way in which the organization solves the problem and satisfies customers’ needs. Value proposition is what defines the reason why customers decide to buy from a specific company.
    • Customer segments – The organization offers its products or services to one or more customer segments. In this segment, there is the important decision to be made about which segments take priority and which are not important.
    • Sales channel – Customers access the value proposition through communication, distribution and sales channels. This part of the business model includes all activities, from increasing the awareness about the product on the market to planned use of different distribution channels.
    • Customer relationships – An organization has to implement certain activities with which it establishes and maintains customer relationships. This includes activities like retaining customers, after-sales activities, additional sales, and other activities for building a strong customer relationship.
    • Revenue streams – Successful value proposition for potential customers through sales channels is seen in successfully created revenue streams. Revenue streams can be one‑time, in case there is a single purchase, or repeatable, if the customer makes a purchase with the provider several times.
    • Key resources – The part of canvas that includes key resources deals with assumptions about which resources are vital for serving customers and other business activities. Key resources can be physical resources (such as machines, facilities), they can be intellectual property (such as patents, brands etc.), and amongst them are also human resources and the need for capital resources.
    • Key activities – The organization achieves all desired goals through implementing a certain number of key activities that lead to the goal step-by-step. Key activities have to be defined mostly on the basis of all other parts of the business model.
    • Key partners – Some of the activities are carried out by other partners or the organization leases certain resources and services on the market, meaning it needs reliable key partners. Key partners mostly include strategic partners, subcontractors, suppliers and joint investments.
    • Cost structure – Business operations of an organization create costs that need to be thoroughly defined and compared to the revenue streams. With costs, it is important to define fixed and variable costs as well as the potential positive impact of the economies of scale.
    Lean Canvas
    Lean Canvas, Click to Enlarge

    3.3.2. Lean canvas

    Ash Maurya derived the lean canvas from the business model canvas by Alexander Osterwalder, as described in his book Business Model Generation. The lean canvas differs from the business model canvas mostly in that it is meant exclusively for startups.

    The business model canvas includes a large part of planned infrastructure (partners, activities, resources, customer relationships), while the lean canvas focuses exclusively on areas that are most important for startups. Thus key partners are substituted by the problem, key activities with the solution, resources with metrics, and customer relationships with unfair advantage.

    The purpose of the lean frame is that it helps the startup dissect the business model to nine components that can be systematically tested, starting with the most and ending with the least risky one. An important fact is that not only is the startup’s product a “product for the market”, but rather the entire business model is a “product for the market”.

    The nine components of the lean canvas are:

    • Problem – The startup team lists the three biggest problems that customers face and that need to be solved for the chosen customer segment. The problems can be imagined as the tasks and effort that the customer should make or does have to make without the solution. It’s also important that under problems, the startup team writes how the customers are currently solving them.
    • Solution – In the solution segment of the canvas, the startup team writes every thought on what is the easiest way to start solving every problem written down.
    • Unique value proposition – The field of unique value proposition defines how the startup’s solution is different from the competition and why it is worth the attention. In the starting stages of building the company, grabbing the attention of the customer is highlighted more than sales. By defining the unique value proposition, the startup extracts the essence of the product and has to describe it in a few words that clearly show how it will attract customers. A well-defined unfair advantage answers two key questions, namely what the startup’s product is and who the product customer is.
    • Unfair advantage – An unfair advantage is defined as something that can’t easily be copied by the competition. Unfair advantages can include everything from internal information and personal authority to the community and existing customers. Usually certain unfair advantages start as the basic values of the company and become the company’s differentiators, so what the customers use to differ the company from the competition.
    • Channels – Channels are paths to customers. In the learning stage, it makes sense for the startup to use all channels to potential customers and find those that lead to a sufficient number of customers as soon as possible. In this, the startup needs to realize that free channels don’t exist. Even those that seem free (social media, search engines etc.), have costs in the form of human capital. It is also sensible for the startup to give priority to inbound channels, namely those where customers find you on their own (the so-called pull messaging), rather than outbound channels. Examples of inbound channels are blogs, e-books etc. It is also advisable that at the beginning, the startup focuses on channels that are as direct as possible, because that enables maximum learning.
    • Segments – In the field of segments, the startup recognizes all potential users and puts them into segments (groups that are as homogenous as possible). Inside every segment, it is crucial that a startup creates a picture of a ideal customer (personas), whereby it makes sense to follow the goal of finding the early adopters, not aiming at all customers and the mainstream market from the very beginning.
    • Key metrics – In the canvas, the startup defines its key metrics. These include certain key numbers based on which the startup can measure progress and how well it is doing. In this, the recommended model is to use Dave McClure’s pirate metrics, which include the whole picture from raising awareness of the brand and creating demand to recommendations.
    • Revenue streams – Revenue streams, together with the cost structure, help the startup evaluate the lucrativeness of the idea. In this, it is important that the startup doesn’t think about long-term three- to five-year predictions, but more about the short term. It is also incredibly important that the startup thinks about potential streams from the beginning, because the way of pricing is an important part of the product. There is a rule (with certain exceptions) that if the entrepreneur is intending to charge for the product, they should do so from the first day. Beside this, the price determines which customer segment the company is in, and payment is the first form of validating the business idea. Revenue streams, pricing strategy, and earliest possible charging are thus important aspects of the business model.
    • Cost structure – With costs, it’s important that the startup knows the necessary amount of capital needed to launch the minimum viable product. Afterwards, it constantly renews and supplements this amount based on the feedback from the market. At the beginning, this amount of capital includes covering the costs for doing 30 – 50 interviews with customers, and for creating and launching the minimum viable product. The startup simply lists all operative costs that will grow until product launch.

    3.3.3. Recommended steps in making a lean or business model canvas

    It is recommendable that the startup (entrepreneur) starts thinking about who the potential customers for their product could be, and make a list. In this, they must strictly distinguish between customers (those who pay) and product users.

    In the next step, it’s advisable that they divide wide segments of users into smaller ones, because in entrepreneurship there is the general rule that it isn’t possible to create, design and position a product for everyone. When the startup is preparing a list of potential customers, it has to keep very specific customers in mind.

    In the next step, the startup starts preparing the lean (or business model) canvas. It is recommendable to start with one canvas, with two to three customer segments that are most promising, and using different colours and labels for different segments in the same canvas.

    During preparation, it is important that the startup sketches the canvas in one go (in less than 15 minutes), because the point of the first sketch is for the startup to write a short summary of its current thoughts and assumptions.

    There’s nothing wrong with a few fields staying empty, it’s more important that the startup is succinct with the first sketch, thinks about the present, focuses on the customers, then goes out of the building as soon as possible to test its model with other stakeholders.

    When the startup team goes out of the building and starts doing interviews, it upgrades the lean canvas based on the feedback.

    Lean startup - Hypotheses example
    Example of setting hypotheses – simplified and made up case

    3.4. Setting and verifying hypotheses

    The basis of the lean startup methodology is that the entrepreneur changes their business thoughts, ideas, assumptions and strategies into falsifiable assumptions or hypotheses. The point of such an approach is better risk management.

    A falsifiable hypothesis is nothing other than a statement that can easily be proven wrong. The statement we are testing as a hypothesis has to have a specific and measurable outcome, and be based on a specific and repeatable action.

    The prediction already enables you to more easily verify the actual state and a better judgement, even though mistakes are possible in evaluating the expected outcome.

    Verifying assumptions always takes place in collaboration with (potential) customers. The most typical mistake made by startups is to develop a product in absence of customers.

    It is simply impossible to learn about the market and the customers if there is no interaction with the customers and if at a certain point, customers don’t start using the minimum viable product and that is then the source of real feedback.

    Ash Maurya defines the falsifiable hypothesis as:

    Falsifiable hypothesis = [specific repeatable action] will [expected measurable outcome]

    The key purpose of testing assumptions is that instead of having blind faith in its assumptions, the startup team purposefully tests and tries to prove that their assumptions about the business and customers are wrong. By verifying assumptions, the team or entrepreneur-individual try to find shortcomings in their business idea on purpose.

    Setting hypotheses is confirmed qualitatively, and checked quantitatively. The sequence of using methods is that qualitative verification takes precedence over the quantitative. By testing, the startup follows goals to receive a strong positive or negative reaction from the market.

    Not a big sample of potential customers is needed to achieve that. By verifying hypotheses, the startup wishes to better manage mostly three key risks:

    • Product risk – Product risk is connected to how to correctly make a product, namely which functionalities to develop so that the customers will be willing to pay for it. When using the lean startup methodology, it is recommended that the entrepreneur first makes sure that they have a problem that needs to be solved; if they have one, they can then determine the specifications of the minimum viable product and make it; when it is made, the startup validates the minimum viable product on a small scale and in the last step on a big scale.
    • Customer risk – Customer risk is connected mostly to how to find the path to customers. The process of lowering risks with the lean startup method recommends that the entrepreneur should first focus on who even has a problem, then focus on the earlyadopters that want to have the product immediately.
    • Market risk – Market risk deals with the question of how to create a profitable business. Systematically managing risk according to the lean startup methodology includes recognizing the competition and its alternative existing solutions, setting the product price, and testing the price based on first spoken and written reactions of customers and their behaviour. In the last step, the startup optimizes costs by arriving at a suitable business model.

    All three risks can be summarized in two key assumptions that the lean startup must confirm, namely the value hypothesis and the growth hypothesis.

    When the business team sets a vision, the next step inside the lean startup methodology is that they break it apart into smaller pieces inside the business model or lean canvas. The most important components are exactly these two hypotheses.

    The startup uses the value hypothesis to check whether the product based on a vision really brings value to the customers (they’re prepared to pay for it), and uses the scientifically-set growth hypothesis to check how new customers will discover the profitable product or service.

    A condition for learning is failure, which shows through rejected hypotheses. If you don’t experience failure, you can’t learn, which leads us to validated learning.

    Two basic hypothesis of the lean startup

    Main hypothesis Validation
    Value hypothesis Idea confirmation
    Product confirmation
    Growth hypothesis Confirmation of engines of growth

    3.5. Validated learning

    When customers use a product, they create feedback and with it important information. Feedback can be qualitative as well as quantitative.

    Information from the first customers is significantly more important for a startup than an investment, victories at various competitions or media releases, because they are the input element for further development of product functionalities and ranking the importance of business ideas.

    When we speak of entrepreneurial learning, high caution is necessary. Learning is one of the most frequent excuses for failure. We can often hear the excuse we didn’t succeed, but at least we learned a lot.

    Entrepreneurs as well as managers quickly find excuses in saying what important lessons and new knowledge the failure brought. It can be very cold comfort, mostly to investors in the company who lost the invested resources, and entrepreneurs who lost the invested resources as well as their time and precious energy.

    Learning is important, but it shouldn’t only serve as a cheap excuse, but rather needs a different name and a more detailed definition. We are talking about validated learning.

    Learning about the market and customers is the key task of startups, because it’s the only way to build a real product. In doing so, actual learning isn’t the one that serves only as an excuse, but rather the one that tells which elements of the strategy work and which ones don’t.

    Real learning says exactly what customers want and what they don’t. Not even what they say they want or what they think they want, but what they actually want. Real learning gives feedback about the behaviour of potential customers. It’s called validated learning and it’s a key concept of the lean startup.

    Validated learning is a process that can empirically prove that the business team has discovered an insight into the market and customers, current and future ones. In validated learning, the information is more concrete, exact and faster compared to traditional marketing research and business planning.

    Validated learning helps the business team to learn and systematically eliminate everything that is a waste of resources, which includes all that the customers aren’t prepared to pay for. It should be stressed once again that validated learning is always supported with empirical data that are gathered from real (potential) customers.

    Thus the key goal of discovering and developing customers, and validated learning, is that the lean startup team understands which functionalities in the product aren’t needed. At the end, validated learning must show in improvements of key and lean startup metrics.

    In the beginning stages of business operations, these metrics are rarely the revenue, they are always connected to what the customers want. The customers might not know what they want, so it’s crucial to systematically verify assumptions with help of the minimum viable product.

    By validating or disproving hypotheses, the startup learns about the market and customers. A validated hypothesis thus means nothing other than that the business team is, based on data, confident enough to continue investing time, money and effort into a certain direction.

    In this, a healthy measure of scepticism is always necessary, the customer’s behaviour is more important than their words. This leads us to the fact that in a lean startup, learning first takes place outside the conference room (amongst the customers).

    3.6. Learning outside the conference room

    As we have seen, the main function of a lean startup as a temporary organization for validating the business model is customer discovery and development.

    In the stage of discovering and developing customers, the vision of the founders is transformed into a set of assumptions on the lean or business model canvas that need to be tested on the market.

    Discovering customers always takes place “out of the building”, and the key purpose of the process is mostly detailed understanding of the customer’s problem and the greatness of need for making the solution for the problem.

    First, let’s say a word about where the concept of learning outside the conference room comes from. In Toyota methodology of lean production, an important concept is “genchi gembutsu”, the translation of which is “go and see for yourself”.

    The wisdom of this concept is that you get direct knowledge about something through your own experience. The same concept is also used in lean startup, called “get out of the building” because early contact with the customer is what reveals the riskiest and most critical assumptions of the business.

    No matter how many intermediaries are between the company and customers, at the end customers are living and thinking individuals who behave according to certain patterns that are measurable and can be influenced. This is why intense contact between the lean startup and customers is necessary for developing the right product.

    The startup learns fastest in conversation with customers. When it comes to learning, talking to people is more important than collecting analytical data. Because customer discovery is about discovering the unknown, surveys and focus groups aren’t the best option.

    With a survey, the startup assumes that they already know the right questions (and sometimes answers), and this prevents additional explanations and the analysis of other unexpected areas. Focus groups often develop into group thinking, which prevents the collection of real concrete data.

    Customer discovery thus takes place mostly with interviews. For effectively doing interviews, mostly the following instructions are recommended:

    • The startup should focus on learning, not on selling their idea. It is crucial that in the interview, you only set the context, then let the customer speak most of the time. Every communication with a potential customer has to be a learning opportunity for the startup.
    • In interviews, potential customers often aren’t completely honest, either from politeness, a lack of interest or any other reason. That’s why it’s important that the startup observes the customers’ behaviour and measures what they are doing or how they are reacting. An example of getting a reaction is a call-to-action, such as getting a verbal commitment for buying the product with advance payment.
    • It’s important that the interviews follow a certain scenario, meaning that the startup is able to ensure the consistency and repeatability of interviews. The best way to achieve that is by using fixed scenarios.
    • A startup can start with a wider range of starting potential customers when doing the interviews, and set the exact target group later, once it starts a new round of detailed interviews.
    • It is recommended that at least two people are present at the interview, so that mistakes resulting from forgetfulness are prevented and more facts are detected.
    • Different financial incentives or rewards for participating in the interview aren’t desired. After all, the startup wants the potential customer to buy the product, not for the startup to pay the potential customer for participating in the interview.
    • Interviews should take place live, if at all possible, it’s best to start with personal contacts, choose a neutral location, and ensure enough time. It’s recommended that you avoid recording the interviews, because interviewees behave differently. The results should always be noted directly after the interview, while the thoughts are still fresh.
    The mom test
    Source: Rob Fitzpatrick – The mom test

    3.6.1. The customer discovery interview – problem

    The startup guarantees the consistency and repeatability of interviews by preparing a suitable scenario. In general, there are two types of interviews, namely the interview for learning about the problem and the interview for testing the solution.

    The goal of the first is to gain information from potential customers about whether they actually face a certain problem, while the second interview type is dedicated to obtaining feedback about the startup’s solution and inbound data for creating the minimum viable product.

    The scenario of doing the interview for learning about the problem (not testing the solution) includes several stages, suggested by Ash Maurya:

    1. Welcome (2 min),
    2. Collecting general and important demographic information (2 min)
    3. Presenting the problem together with the context and ranking problems that the customer supposedly faces (6 min)
    4. Discovering the customer’s view on the world and posing sub-questions (15 min)
    5. Conclusion (2 min)
    6. Writing down results (5 min)

    In the stage of conclusion, it is important that the startup does two more things: Explains its solution on a conceptual level and gains the permission to further inform about the product.

    An individual interview should consequently take about 30 minutes. Before an entrepreneur decides to make the final product following the lean startup methodology, they should test the solution with a minimum viable product, about which more below.

    The biggest challenge in doing interviews for learning about the problem of the lean startup is usually that the lean startup finds it difficult to resist the desire to present its solution and business idea. But that leads the conversation away from the key goal, which is deeply and thoroughly understanding the customer’s problems.

    Within the interview about the problem, it is incredibly important to realize that the purpose isn’t for the team to gather information about what specifications the customer would want. The team’s task is to find early users that need a solution consistent with the company’s vision.

    The most important things that a startup should learn when talking to potential customers about the problem are:

    1. One to three main problems that potential customers face, including the suitable context of the startup’s business idea
    2. How potential customers are currently solving this problem
    3. How big or painful is this problem
    4. What are the costs of this problem and existing solutions, are there any obstacles preventing the potential customer from starting to use a new better solution
    5. In what way could the customers most easily get the information about a new better solution the the startup has to offer

    For quality insight into understanding the problem, the startup should carry out between 30 and 60 interviews in the period of four to six weeks. The best measurement for stopping interviews is when they don’t give any new more knowledge to the startup.

    There are many opportunities for obtaining potential interviewees:

    • the startup can start with personal contacts,
    • by collecting contacts through a website,
    • collecting contacts through social networks,
    • and with cold calls and e-mails.

    3.6.2. The customer discovery interview – solution

    Only talking to customers about problems isn’t enough, because most potential customers know how to clearly express problems that they’re facing, but they often have problems with visualizing solutions.

    That’s why it’s important to do the second type of interviews (in approximately the same scope), where the startup is focused on the solution.

    The scenario of leading the solution interview also consists of:

    • A welcome (2 min),
    • Collecting demographic information (2 min) and presenting the problem with the context (2 min)
    • Presentation of the product, with which you test the solution (15 min)
    • Test of the price (3 min)
    • A conclusion, including writing down the results (2 min).

    In the end, the startup asks for permission to send further notifications and asks for recommendations if the potential customer knows any other potential customers for doing additional interviews.

    For leading a solution interview, the startup needs at least a demo product, if not already a minimum viable product that replaces the actual solution. Feedback based on a demo product can be excellent inbound information for making a minimum viable product.

    Demo products can be sketches, models, prototypes, clay products or products made with a 3D printer, demo presentations etc.

    When making a demo product it’s important that the startup makes it in such a way that it is feasible in practice, it has to look like the real thing, it has to enable quick iterations for additions and upgrades, and it mustn’t be financially wasteful.

    At the interview about the potential solution, the lean startup needs to get information about whether its solution is a sustainable or disruptive innovation – whether the solution can be directly compared to an existing solution.

    This gives the right context of whether you are addressing a new market or not, whether customers have a suitable business environment and the necessary conditions to start using the new solution immediately, whether they see an opportunity and reality of using the new solution in everyday working process and of course, are they prepared to pay for the new solution.

    An important part of the solution interview with potential customers is testing the price. In doing so, you have to stick to the principle that you shouldn’t ask a potential customer how much they are prepared to pay, because this often leads to embarrassment and there is also no reason why the potential customer wouldn’t give an unreasonably low price.

    It’s also important that in the stage of verifying the price, the startup doesn’t decrease the purchase friction (lower price, free use with the purpose of obtaining the first satisfied customers etc.) but increases it instead, because otherwise postponed validation can occur – the customer confirms that they will buy something for a fair price, but we actually don’t know this or they wouldn’t do it.

    The difference between a pitch and a solution interview is that a pitch is an “all-or-nothing” type of an offer. In a solution interview, learning is still in the forefront and the startup leads every step with a clear hypothesis and evaluates the customer’s reaction.

    The stage of customer discovery and validation is concluded when the team, based on tests and iterations of the minimum viable product, proves that the chosen business model can achieve the volume of sales that are needed for the desired profitability of the company.

    The startup team also needs to have concrete metrics and proofs that they can reach a bigger number of customers and consequently rapid growth. At the end of the stage of customer discovery and validation, the business team already has an exact sales plan. In the stage of customer discovery, it’s important that the business team obtains enough information for building the minimum viable product.

    Diffusion of innovation and early adopters

    3.6.3. Earlyevangelists – Excited early users

    In his book Crossing the Chasm, Geoffrey Moore popularized the concept of how new technologies are adopted by the market (based on Everett Rogers’ Diffusion of innovations), whereby the use of technology spreads through five different stages or user groups:

    • Innovators – Aggressively adopt new technologies, exclusively for technological interests. They are mostly the people working with technology, innovators, scholars and other technology enthusiasts. Their main characteristic is that they don’t have a problem spending hours upon hours with a certain technical product until it starts working properly.
    • Early adopters – Adopt and use new technologies because of the actual benefits that they bring. Early adopters are usually visionaries outside and inside organizations, who are the first buyers of new technological products and as such finance their further development. They are prepared to accept bigger risks and convince others in their environment to do the same. Their characteristic is that it is easy to sell something to them but it’s difficult to satisfy their needs, because they are, after all, a type of visionaries.
    • Early majority – They adopt and use new technologies, but only after the technology is developed well enough that there aren’t too many errors and un-working aspects. It’s a pragmatic segment that’s more difficult to profile, because they don’t accept overly large risks like visionaries do.
    • Late majority – They aren’t interested in technology, but they buy a solution when it becomes the market standard. We can call them conservatives. They are against technological changes and are often somewhat afraid of new technologies. They are stubborn towards changes and when they start using new technologies, that doesn’t mean that they like it.
    • Laggards – They don’t want to use new technologies or they adopt them extremely late. They often block the buying of new technologies in environments they work in, which is why it’s incredibly important that technological companies neutralize them.

    Successful lean startups in the first stages don’t develop a product for the mass market, because they usually lack the resources to do so. Instead, it makes sense for them to focus on identifying small groups of people with a big problem or pain that the startup solves with its product.

    Above all, members of this group have to strongly believe the startup’s vision. This group of customers are called earlyevangelists and they are a special segment of early adopters. So the goal of the startup isn’t to find the average customer through the customer discovery process, but to find the enthusiastic earlyevangelist.

    Earlyevangelists are the people who feel that they need the product right away, are prepared to participate in the development stage with feedback, and they allow development mistakes as the first users of the product.

    Steve Blank states the characteristics of earlyvangelists in five key elements:

    • Have a problem and a need.
    • Realize that they have a problem.
    • Were actively looking for a solution in the past and have to solve the problem as soon as possible.
    • Somehow manage to solve the problem temporarily in an ineffective way using several different parts and activities.
    • Have a budget for buying a better solution.

    The key participation of earlyevangelists in the process is mostly that these users have no problem giving feedback and including their idea of which functionalities the product needs and they would be prepared to pay for.

    The incredible importance of enthusiastic earlyevangelists lies mostly in the fact that they are already looking for solutions for the problems they have.

    Thus their purpose isn’t only a desire to use new technology, like it is with innovators. What’s even more important is that they disregard others when making buying decisions and they are prepared to help with feedback.

    Through the customer discovery process, the lean startup must thus find the so-called earlyevangelists who are prepared to actively participate in further development of the solution and buy it, and thus co-finance its development in a way.

    The majority of learning takes place in interaction with these users, and the minimum viable product is indispensable for learning.

    3.7. Minimum viable product

    Developing the entire solution or product is time-consuming and wasteful, especially if it turns out that the startup is developing the wrong solution or developing unnecessary properties. The goal of the lean startup methodology is also to increase the speed of learning.

    The problem is that in the stage of collecting demands, developing the product, and ensuring quality, you get very little information about the market and the customer, so there is almost no learning. The lion’s share of learning happens after launching the product.

    The solution for this problem in the lean startup methodology is the concept of a minimum viable product. With it, the startup learns about the market and customers more quickly, without already finalizing product development based on assumptions that can be wrong.

    In traditional methods of product development, which usually includes long development stages up until perfecting the product and until it is ready for the market, learning typically starts only in the end, when the product is already complete and on the market.

    The goal of the minimum viable product is that learning starts immediately. Unlike the prototype or pilot concept, the purpose of the minimum viable product isn’t to answer the technical and designer questions of the product, but to enable the testing of key business assumptions.

    The minimum viable product is completely different from the final, shiny and incredible product made by perfectionistic values, and it isn’t the product that you gladly show to your parents and that gets awards at different fairs. A minimum viable product often seems like an unacceptable compromise, an unfinished product full of mistakes.

    MVP enables the maximal amount of learning about the customers and the market with the minimum amount of effort.

    This is why when making the minimum viable product, good judgement is important and so is simplification, if the business team doesn’t know whether to add a functionality or not. The minimum viable product needs to include the smallest possible scope of functionalities that solve the central problem for customers.

    The minimum viable product often isn’t a lot more than an advert. Examples of a minimum viable product are:

    • video presentation,
    • manually doing the service instead of building the product,
    • landing pages,
    • testing the idea through crowdfunding,
    • quickly prototyping with 3D printers,
    • and other approaches that give a simulation of the actual product and the potential customer’s purchasing decision.

    The minimum viable product needs to be constantly upgraded based on feedback from customers. Upgrading and iterating the minimum viable product and later the final product in companies following the lean startup methodology often takes place following the methodology of continuous deployment.

    If we summarize what the minimum viable product is, it’s the version of the product that enables the maximal amount of learning about the customers and the market with the minimum amount of effort. It encompasses the smallest possible extent of functionalities that customers are prepared to pay for.

    In this, the rule is that if you aren’t at least a bit embarrassed when you show the minimum viable product to customers, you don’t have a real minimum viable product.

    3.7.1. The customer discovery interview – MVP

    After making an MVP, it’s recommendable that a startup does the third interview, namely the interview about the minimum viable product. The purpose of this is still learning and convincing users to sign up to use the service and in doing so, test the messaging, prices and activation stream.

    The scenario of such an interview includes a welcome (2 min), displaying introductory materials or website (2 min), showing and explaining the price (3 min), acquiring the customer (15 min) and conclusion (2 min), together with writing down the results (5 min).

    The goal is thus to gain additional feedback about the minimum viable product and marketing material, and to get the first paying customers.

    The lean startup cycle

    3.8. Build – measure – learn loop for validated learning

    The method of the lean startup is based on a scientific approach, which means that performing experiments is of key importance.

    An experiment in the lean startup methodology means implementing the cycle that includes the entire validated learning process. This is the build – measure – learn loop whose essence is to get feedback from customers.

    Based on this loop, the basic activity of the startup is to build individual functionalities of the product (which are part of the minimum viable product), and measure how potential customers react (product use metrics). Afterwards, based on the metrics of use and validated learning, entrepreneurs make a decision about whether to keep the functionality or pivot.

    The learning cycle has three stages.

    1. The first stage is the stage of creating, called build, in which the startup makes the minimum viable product based on the assumptions written on the canvas.
    2. Then in the next stage, the startup shows the minimum viable product to customers and, with a combination of qualitative and quantitative data, checks the reaction of customers and thus validates or rejects its assumptions. The stage is thus called measure because the startup measures the reactions of potential customers.
    3. All this leads to the last stage, namely the stage of learning. The findings are what help the startup decide whether a pivot is necessary or not.

    The main point of the build – measure – learn loop, is mostly in reaching a high speed of learning about the market and customers. The goal of the startup is to find a working plan before it runs out of resources, and it finds a working plan based on learning (validating hypotheses) about the market and customers.

    The startup’s goal should be to increase the amount of learning about the biggest risks of the business model in a time unit.

    The faster that the lean startup follows the build – measure – learn loop, the bigger the possibility that the startup finds a working business model on time. If the startup is too slow in following this cycle, it usually fails because the money for financing launch runs out.

    Meanwhile in speed and validated learning, the biggest problem is psychological (ego), because you have to admit small defeats and face unverified assumptions. You must have no problem with being wrong, knowing that you are always wrong before you are right.

    Types of research
    Types of research with examples

    3.9. Startup’s engines of growth

    Once the startup confirms the plan and validates hypotheses on the market, it passes to the stage of rapid growth. In this, the revenue is the first and customer retention the best form of confirming the hypotheses and the right business model.

    Company growth based on the lean startup methodology can originate from three foundations, called the engines of growth.

    An engine of growth is a mechanism and way that startups use to achieve sustainable growth of the company. Company growth primarily depends on three things:

    1. Profitability of individual customers
    2. Costs for acquiring a new customer (CAC)
    3. The speed of repeated purchases by existing customers.

    These are the basic elements of growth of a lean startup, and the bigger that these values are, the faster the company will grow and the more profitable it will be.

    In doing this, engines of growth are a mechanism that the startup uses to reach the desired constant growth. The startup can achieve constant growth only on the basis of:

    • activities of its existing customers, for example through word-of-mouth publicity,
    • repeated purchases,
    • reinvesting the revenue from existing customers into advertising, or
    • consequence of using the product, for example an invitation of friends into online social networks.

    These sources of growth compose the three basic engines of growth. The name “engines of growth” comes from the fact that this is a strong feedback loop where more existing and new customers bring even more new customers to the company.

    In the lean startup theory, we know three basic engines of growth that the company can focus on:

    • The sticky engine of growth: The sticky engine of growth mostly relies on the fact that once customers start using the product, it’s difficult for them to switch to a new product or to stop using it, and so they make repeated purchases. An example of such a product are databases. Growth in this case is determined mostly with the factor of how quickly the startup acquires new customers compared to the churn of existing customers. The sticky engine of growth is based on retaining a large number of customers as compared to the churn rate of existing customers. Growth in this engine is measured and achieved by keeping the customer acquisition rate higher than the churn rate. Churn includes all those customers who leave or don’t want to use the product anymore.
    • The viral engine of growth: Viral growth happens automatically, when existing customers bring in new customers by using the product. The speed of growth in this case depends on the viral coefficient, which measures how many new customers the startup obtains based on one existing customer (and how quickly that happens). For exponential growth, the coefficient has to be at least 1.0, meaning that every existing customer gains at least one new customer. Examples of companies that use such an engine are online social networks. In this, we know three types of virality: such that is inherently a part of the product and happens through product use; such that is artificial and achieved through a reward system; and word-of-mouth virality that happens based on customer satisfaction.
    • The paid engine of growth: The paid engine of growth means that the company reinvests the revenue of existing customers into paid advertisement for obtaining new ones. The speed of growth in this case depends on two factors – how much revenue from an individual the company can reinvest into paid advertising, and how much it costs to acquire one new customer. In this, there is the rule that the cost for customer acquisition is higher for more expensive products, but the profitability of such a customer has to be bigger. The paid engine of growth is based on a high margin. If a startup really achieves very high margin, then it can reinvest part of customer revenue into acquiring new customers. Growth based on the paid engine is measured based on the customer lifetime value and customer acquisition cost. The golden rule is that the customer lifetime value is even three times higher than the cost of their acquisition.

    It’s important for the startup to focus on one model of growth, which usually isn’t obvious at the beginning, but can change throughout the curve of the company’s lifecycle. Choosing the engine of growth strongly defines the choice of metrics that show the progress and development of the company.

    In this stage, not only searching for the suitable engine of growth is important. This stage comes after confirming the problem, solution and customers, and Steve Blank calls it customer creation.

    Customer creation includes finally launching the product after confirming all hypotheses in the customer discovery stage, marketing positioning of the product and company on the market, official launch to the market, and constantly creating new demand with different methods of sales and market communication.

    3.10. Innovation accounting and metrics

    The instinct of the business team gives ideas for experiments, while concrete data and metrics are proof of the accuracy of this instinct. Customer development gives the startup the first feedback about which minimum viable product to build, then validation with concrete metrics is necessary.

    The purpose of innovation accounting and metrics of the lean startup is to ensure a method for measuring progress in extreme uncertainty, where traditional financial planning isn’t useful.

    Traditional accounting and controlling (balance and income statements together with the financial plan) don’t give such good insight into the success of business operations with startups as they do in already established companies, mostly due to a lack of information about stable past business, and an uncertain future.

    This is why a different metric frame for measuring progress of disruptive startups is needed – the so-called innovation accounting. In lean startup, the purpose of analytics and metrics is thus that they show the business team the path to the right product and market before money in the account runs out.

    Innovation accounting is based on three key steps.

    1. The first step is that based on the minimum viable product, the startup starts obtaining concrete information about where the company currently is. Without a factual picture of the current situation, it is impossible to measure progress.
    2. In the second step, the startup must use different tests to try to improve the metrics of growth and progress.
    3. The last step covers the metrics-based decision of whether the company should continue with the strategy or decide to pivot. The startup decides to pivot when every next experiment doesn’t improve business metrics. This means that something is wrong with the strategy and it has to be changed. In case the strategy is changed, the startup returns to step two and once again works in the direction of improving metrics for the ideally planned picture.

    With metrics, making decisions stops being about what customers said in interviews and starts being about strictly measuring what customers are really doing and what their behaviour is. However, it is still necessary for the startup to see actual people or customers behind the numbers of metrics.

    An important problem solved by the minimum viable product and the set metrics is that the more disruptive the innovation, the less the customer is aware of what exactly they need and whether they would use and buy a certain product.

    In sustainable innovations, it’s usually clear what exactly the customer needs (a better and cheaper product), while in disruptive innovations it usually isn’t, because the potential customer hasn’t even had an experience with such a product yet.

    With disruptive innovation, the customer doesn’t know exactly what they want, simply because they aren’t aware of what’s possible outside their current experience and knowledge. This is why it’s necessary to measure the reaction of customers based on the minimum viable product based on metrics, and not only do interviews.

    3.10.1. Vanity metrics

    Vanity metrics are those metrics that note only the current state of the product, but don’t give an insight into how the startup arrived to a certain result and even less how to continue and which strategy to choose.

    Vanity metrics give the team good feelings, you can brag with them or even collect money from inexperienced venture capital investors, but they can absolutely have fatal consequences if the team makes business decisions based on them.

    So every metric or information that doesn’t influence the behavior of the business team and the strategy is a vanity metric. Based on a metric, there should always be an answer to the question of what the business team will do differently.

    3.10.2. Measuring actionable metrics

    The opposite of vanity metrics are actionable metrics. An actionable metric is defined as a metric that can connect specific and repeatable actions to a measurable result. Actionable metrics are actionable, accessible and auditable, which is known as meeting the 3-A criteria.

    Additionally, it’s important that metrics are comparative in different time periods, understandable to the business team and stakeholders, a good metric is also usually a ratio, but above all it strongly influences the behaviour of the business team, answering the question of what the team will be doing differently.

    That’s why it’s necessary that metrics are closely connected to clearly set goals of the lean startup.

    Metrics are often introduced based on funnel reports and cohort analyses. Funnel reports are designed in a way that you choose a certain period of reporting, in which certain key events inside the sales funnel are considered and shown.

    The key events inside a sales funnel are, for example, acquisition, activation and sales. For a more advanced analysis, funnel reports have to be connected to cohorts.

    Cohort analysis
    Example of cohort analysis. Source KD nugget

    The cohort can be designed based on any characteristic that we wish to assign to users, but the most usual characteristics when preparing cohort analyses are the starting date of product use, gender, operating system and similar.

    We can compare cohorts with one another and then observe differences inside the sales funnel – for example how many potential customers activated and bought a product in this week compared to the week before or any other time period that we wish to monitor.

    Cohorts are important because with rapid development of new product iterations, those users who start using the product in the first week don’t have the same experience as those who start using the product a week later. Designing cohorts enables you to monitor various metrics in detail, including revenue, churn rate, virality and other important metrics.

    When measuring metrics, it’s important that startups consider all the key rules of statistical data management, namely keeping the data clean and normalized, and correctly considering bigger deviancies, seasonal components and other possible irregularities.

    In doing so, it’s important to know that a startup drowning in data that it doesn’t know how to interpret is no better than a startup that collects no data.

    That’s why when it comes to measuring actionable metrics, it’s incredibly important that in each growth stage, the startup chooses the one most important metric. This helps keeps focus and discipline in the company. Focus is one of the most important factors of every startup’s success. The one metric that matters is what completely focuses the workings of a lean startup in a certain stage.

    The one metric that matters in a given stage should inspire a culture of experimentation, focus the entire company, answer the most important and critical questions of the business model, be closely connected to the goals, and show the startup’s progress or, in other words, define success.

    The formula for correctly focusing the company is that a startup team should have 1 to 2 specific business goals, one key metric, a list of activities that lead to business goals (whereby we always have to stay flexible about what these activities are based on market feedback), and lastly a real timeframe is necessary.

    In this, it is necessary to realize that it’s better to have 1 to 2 key goals than 3, 5 or even more goals.

    3.10.3. Pirate metrics

    For defining business metrics, Dave McClure’s pirate metrics are the most used model. It was designed mostly for companies making software, but it can also be used in other industries.

    The model encompasses five different stages – the so called AARRR funnel, inside which different metrics types are measured. The five stages inside the model are:

    • Acquisition – Acquisition happens when a random visitor transforms into an interested potential customer. It happens based on marketing, which can be advertising, using social networks, recommendations, or through any other channel that triggers interest with potential customers.
    • Activation – Activation is when a customer has their first user experience with the use of the product. Activation means that the user buys or uses the service at least once, registers for product testing, or establishes active interest for buying the product in some other way.
    • Retention – Retention is defined as repeated use of the product and the level to which the product attracts the customer. Because the customers are happy with the product’s functionalities, they use it again and regularly. Examples of metrics in this stage are the time from last use of the product, the frequency of product use, customer churn rate etc. Customer retention is the best indicator of the success and suitability of the product.
    • Revenue – Revenue metrics measure when and why customers pay. Examples of metrics that a startup can monitor in this stage are customer lifetime value, purchase conversions, size of purchase chart and similar.
    • Referral – Referral metrics measure how many of the existing customers bring new customers into the conversion funnel. Referrals are a more advanced form of customer acquisition, where satisfied customers bring in new customers. The existing customers are so excited about the product that they use word-of-mouth marketing or even bragging to bring new customers to the top of the funnel. Examples of metrics in this stage are the number of sent recommendations, the viral coefficient, and the speed of the virality cycle.

    3.10.4. Four stages of a lean startup

    Based on different stages of building a lean startup (customer discovery, customer validation, customer creation, building a company) and the frame of innovation metrics based on which the lean startup monitors its progress (funnel, cohort analysis, pirate metrics),…

    …we can define four stages that describe the set of metrics that the lean startup should most focus on.

    These four stages are:

    • Emphatic stage – In this stage, all metrics are focused on understanding the market and customers, what’s happening in the customer’s mind, and whether the problem being solved is truly one for which customers are prepared to pay for. Metrics are connected mostly to interviews, surveys and research.
    • Sticky stage – In this stage, metrics are mostly connected to whether the right solution is being built for the problem that customers have. If customers don’t use the product regularly, this is a clear indicator that their problem isn’t big enough or that the solution isn’t suitable.
    • Viral stage – When the company successfully completes the emphatic and sticky stage, it transitions into the viral stage, where all the important metrics are focused into how many new customers are brought in by existing customers, either through excitement about the product or in any other way.
    • Revenue stage – When the company confirms the value hypothesis based on empathy, regular product use and viral acquisition of new customers, it focuses on maximizing and optimizing revenue. It transitions more and more from innovation metrics to traditional monitoring of the company’s financial status.
    • Rapid growth stage – The last stage focuses metrics on expanding business operations to new geographic markets, new verticals and secondary segments. The company invests additional resources into new distribution channels and rapid growth. For a successfully completed stage of rapid growth, the company must know the company’s key engines of growth.

    It’s incredibly important for the business team to know which stage it’s in, and to focus its actions and the metrics it’s monitoring.

    Of course it’s possible for the lean startup to be somewhere in between the stages or in several stages at once, but it’s still important that it’s clearly defined where exactly the startup is, and that the metrics it monitors are suitably adjusted.

    3.11. Pivot

    We know two basic strategic activities of business operations. The first one is optimization and the second one is pivot. When the startup is in the stage of pivot, it’s looking for a real plan that works.

    Within the stage of finding and developing customers, the startup is trying to validate individual parts of business model canvas assumptions. Based on validating individual parts of the assumptions, the startup decides to adjust the direction or pivot, if needed.

    A pivot is nothing other than a fundamental change in strategy, while the startup keeps the vision. A pivot can be expertly defined as a structural course correction with the purpose of testing a new central assumption about the product, strategy or engine of growth.

    A successfully executed pivot in business demands that the startup considers everything it learned about the market and product up until the pivoting point, and decides to pivot with the purpose of additionally accelerating validated learning. The more money, time and creative energy that were invested in the initial idea, the more difficult it is to pivot.

    Examples of the most frequent pivots in business are:

    • Zoom-in pivot: An individual functionality of the product or service becomes the one and only functionality, others are abandoned.
    • Zoom-out pivot: The product or service becomes only one of the functionalities of a bigger and more expansive product or service.
    • Customer segment pivot: The startup realizes that it actually solves a problem on the market, but for a different target group than expected, so it decides to pivot to the new customer segment.
    • Customer need pivot: In the stage of customer discovery, the startup realizes that customers have bigger challenges with a different problem type, so it decides to build a solution for a different problem than initially intended.
    • Platform pivot: The startup decides to rearrange the application into a platform or vice-versa. It’s mostly applicable to IT companies.
    • Business architecture pivot: The startup decides for a different business architecture, for example going from a boutique market to the mass market or changing the basic business architecture in another way.
    • Value capture pivot: The startup decides for a different pricing strategy, different way of charging (for example from one-time payment into a subscription model) or decides for a different change that influences the way of charging and the pricing policy.
    • Engine of growth pivot: Based on several types of engines of growth, the startup decides to go from one model of growth to another with the purpose of achieving bigger profitability and quicker growth.
    • Chanel pivot: The startup decides for other main distribution channels and a way to market, sell and distribute its products and services to its customers.
    • Technology pivot: New technologies can often allow a startup to achieve a better price, quicker development, and ensure bigger quality. In such cases, the startup can decide to pivot in its use of the basic technologies with which the product or service is made.

    If the startup team doesn’t decide for a pivot, optimization follows. Optimization is an acceleration of a working plan.

    Within the scope of optimization, the startup stops validating individual parts of the business plan, and starts to work on the hypotheses with the purpose of achieving the highest possible effectiveness and growth of the company.

    3.12. Team formation

    As already mentioned, in line with a completely different approach to building a company, the lean company methodology recommends a different organizational structure.

    Instead of the standard functional organization structure and the traditionally named departments, such as engineering, marketing, quality control etc., it’s recommended that a startup forms two working groups:

    1. The team for the problem (or customer discovery)
    2. The team for the solution (or making the solution with quick iterations)

    The purpose of such an organizational structure is mostly that there is no friction between the departments, and employees are focused on real priorities.

    The problem team in a lean startup mostly does activities out of the building, including doing interviews and talking with customers, executing different use tests.

    Meanwhile the other team (called the solution team) mostly does activities inside the office, including product development, doing tests and similar. It’s recommended that both teams share certain tasks, such as customer communication, for example.

    Both teams or all founders of the lean startup need to have a strong passion towards the vision and what they do. Successful lean startups are different from the majority of people, they are only a small part of the entire population. Most people are extremely good in doing tasks.

    But successful lean startups have characteristics that enable them to work incredibly well in turbulent conditions, uncertainty and rapid learning. And even more, they are irrationally and completely focused on customers’ needs and giving the customers incredible products.

    An important part of the lean startup’s culture, which concerns all team members, is sharing all information and realizations in the learning stage. In the most successful startups, there is always the rule of information transparency.

    For such sharing, it makes sense and it’s necessary that besides regular weekly meetings, the team uses different technical tools, such as blogs, tools for product development and customer management, and similar.

    4. Transition from the startup into a mature company

    After validating the value hypothesis, the engines of growth, and the entire business model, the company transitions from the startup stage of “searching” into the stage of rapid growth and designing a professional executive organization.

    In order to transition from the startup stage, it is necessary that the company reaches the mass market with its product, clearly designs the management strategy and the mission of the company, designs the traditional functional organization structure, and consequently forms quick-to-react departments that are responsible for individual functions in the company.

    The company can only transition from the startup stage into the growth stage after the product/market fit. For achieving that, the following conditions need to be fulfilled:

    1. Customers are prepared to pay for the product
    2. The customer acquisition cost is significantly smaller than the customer lifetime value
    3. There is enough firm proof that the market is big enough for the company to grow quickly and reach a big enough segment of customers.

    Entrepreneurs usually know very well when they reach product/market fit (they don’t ask themselves about it anymore), and another good indicator is if more than 40 % of existing customers claim that they’d be very disappointed if the product weren’t on the market anymore.

    In the experience of Sean Ellis, 40 % or more of customers who would be miserable without the product is a good indicator of the product/market fit. A common way of measuring customer satisfaction is also net promoter score.

    Net promoter score
    Net promoter score, Source: Checkmarketing

    In this, he recommends that if the company has not yet found its product/market fit, it should lower the monthly costs of business operations as much as possible and direct all resources into increasing the percentage of customers that would be very disappointed.

    Besides failing to find a business model, the majority of companies fail because of too mature scaling. In such a scenario, there is usually too little concrete proof that the mass market for the product exists, but the team still decides for rapid growth.

    The reason lies in the chasm between the innovators, earlyadopters, and the mass market. This is known as the chasm in the Bell curve.

    For crossing the chasm, it is necessary for the startup to properly confirm the assumptions of the primary engine of growth and the size of the market, and mostly to carry out a suitable transition from a “garage” company organization to a professional one.

    5. Problems and limitations of lean techniques

    The first important fact is that lean startup methodologies aren’t suitable for all newly created companies but mostly for those that are doing business based on disruptive, not sustainable innovations.

    Disruptive innovations are those where the problem still isn’t well-understood, a completely new unknown market is addressed (the so-called blue ocean), the innovation dramatically changes the patterns of operation, the segment of customers isn’t yet clearly defined, and the market is completely unpredictable.

    With sustainable innovations, where the problem is completely understood, the market already exists, the customer segment is well‑plotted, the market is predictable, and the innovation only improves the functionalities, lowers the price, or logically linearly improves the product or service in some other way, traditional methods of planning completely suffice.

    The biggest and most frequent obstacles to using the methodologies of the lean startup, minimum viable product and other approaches, are:

    1. Legal questions connected to the protection of intellectual property
    2. Fear of the competition’s superiority, because having only a MVP
    3. Risks connected to the strength of the brand
    4. A negative influence on the business team’s morale, because of all the small failures (learning)
    5. Entrepreneurs are also usually extremely sceptical and afraid of using a minimum viable product, because they fear that an unfinished product would harm the company, customers would stop using the unfinished product or even that their idea would get stolen.

    We can find several wrong interpretations of lean methods, for example that this means building a company cheaply (speed is essential), that it’s easy to follow these methodologies (it’s not and the problem for that is mostly the entrepreneurs’ ego) and similar.

    But it is definitely the case that the tools and approaches aren’t perfected yet and have as many proponents as opponents.

    6. Resources and additional reading

    Here you can find the collection of resources used for this article and as suggestions for additional reading.

    6.1. Books

    1. Alvarez, Cindy – Lean Customer Development
    2. Blank, Steven, Bob Dorf – The Startup Owner’s Manual
    3. Blank, Steven – The Four Steps to the Epiphany
    4. Cooper & Vlaskovits – The Entreprenur’s Guide to Customer Development
    5. Cooper & Vlaskovits – The Lean Entrepreneur
    6. Croll, Alistair in Benjamin Yoskovitz – Lean Analytics
    7. Ellis, Sean – Lean Marketing for Startups
    8. Fitzpatric, Robert – The mom test
    9. Florida, Richard – The Rise of the Creative Class
    10. Liker, Jeffrey – The Toyota Way: 14 Management Principles from Toyota
    11. Maurya, Ash – Running lean
    12. Moore, Geoffrey A. – Crossing the Chasm
    13. Osterwalder, Alexander, Yves Pigneur – Business Model Generation
    14. Ridderstråle, Jonas, Kjell Nordström – Funky Business Forever
    15. Ries, Eric – The Lean Startup
    16. O’Reilly – The Lean Series

    6.2. Blogs and articles

    6.3. Videos and courses

    AgileLeanLife - Agile & Lean You

    6.4. Agile & Lean YOU – apply the lean startup techniques to increase personal productivity

    As we have seen, one of the toughest career challenges you can set for yourself in life is starting, growing and managing a new business. Living a start-up life is no piece of cake.

    The challenge of the same difficulty or even much harder is living a happy and productive life. We all have to deal with disappointments, obstacles, fears and life tests.

    But there are many parallels and similarities between managing a startup and personal life. And that is the main idea of this blog – how to apply agile and lean techniques in your personal life to achieve a completely new level of personal performance. Read more about it:

  • Split testing – when you’re not sure how to decide between two options

    You probably quite often find yourself in a situation of struggling with how to decide between two options you have on the table (like we all do); or maybe you obsessively compare two things to choose the one that would work best for you. Split testing is a very popular experimental method in the online world and it might help you make the right choice when you find yourself in a situation like that.

    The idea of split testing in personal life is that you go a step further from only weighing advantages and disadvantages of each option that you have on a piece of paper – you know, drawing the standard table with pluses and minuses and then still going for the option with more minuses, just because you feel differently from what the table is showing you.

    Sometimes a simple pro-con table can’t give you good enough insights to match your instincts. And your instincts can always be wrong. That’s why it often makes sense to do real experiments in life that give you deep insights and understanding of the situation. An understanding that’s more reliable than only your instincts and assumptions. Split testing is one of the best ways to do such experiments.

    In this blog post, we will look at many ideas and ways of using split testing in personal life. But first we will quickly overview how this method is used in the online world – you know, to understand the background and the basics.

    Not to get confused, split testing is also often called A/B testing (when you’re comparing two isolated variables) or even multivariate testing (when you’re testing two different options where several variables are changed).

    AB testing

    Split testing in the online world

    The most important rule in the online world to achieve any kind of success is: Always be testing. Split testing is a great way to follow this philosophy, because it’s fast, easy, simple and gives clear results. All successful digital marketers are doing split tests as part of their regular daily routine.

    If we go for a definition, split testing is a method of conducting controlled, randomized experiments with the goal of improving website performance. You try to improve the number of clicks or other completions (conversions) on your blog, such as clicking a banner, filling out a form or making a purchase.

    In practice, split testing means that you show different versions of parts of your website to your readers and track which one works best. With many different software solutions and plugins available, it’s not difficult to set different split tests. Here are some examples of what you can test with split testing:

    • Headlines
    • Call-to-Actions and banners
    • Social buttons
    • Visual elements
    • Website navigation
    • Landing pages for your products
    • The time you send out your emails

    You can test many other things, like typography, colors, font size, different widget positions on your sidebar, copywriting, testimonials, form fields etc. The basics are simple, but at some point things get really complicated. Fortunately, we don’t have to go into detail.

    Here are a few practical examples of split tests in the online world:

    • You send out a mailing on two different days at the same time and measure results
    • You use Google AdWords to compare which of two headlines is catchier
    • You change the color and text on your “call-to-action” button and compare the results
    • You use heat maps to compare two layouts and structures of an article
    • You compare two email subscription banners to see which one gets more subscribers

    There is one shocking thing about these tests. I tested dozens of ads with Google AdWords and many different subscription banners and blog post titles. It’s very simple to do that.

    For example, you open Google AdWords, make two different headlines of an ad, show it to hundreds of people and see which one catches more attention and, in the next step, which one leads to more conversions (Google offers you a coupon to start using AdWords, and you can do it yourself as a test). But here’s the thing.

    You can be so sure that the option A is going to be the winning one, but then the other option works better. You get so shocked at how you could have been so wrong when you were so sure. Sometimes the more boring option wins, sometimes the more shocking one, you really never know what the results will be.

    Thus there is a rule to always put data before any arguments, and to put everything to the test. Your personal life shouldn’t be an exception to that.

    How to decide

    Split testing and conducting experiments in personal life

    Doing split tests in personal life can’t be as exact, simple and scientific as it is in the online world. Nevertheless, we can take many ideas and good practices from online split testing and apply it into experimenting in personal life.

    If we take a step back and go to the basics of experimenting, there are four main things you need to have to conduct a professional experiment and a professional split test:

    • A goal or purpose: What kind of an outcome you want to achieve and especially why
    • A hypothesis: It’s an educated guess based on your prior experience and knowledge.
    • Data collection and methodology: A plan for how you will collect data and what kind of experiments you will perform.
    • Data analysis and conclusion: You perform the experiments, you analyze the data and come to certain conclusions. You get the superior insights you need to make a solid decision.
    • Well, you also need a piece of paper or a spreadsheet to write everything down and measure the results. Never do tests only in your head, those aren’t real tests.

    A goal and a hypothesis are the simplest parts of an experiment. You always need to first clearly know what and why you want to achieve something. The best way to clarify your “why” is to write a short life story.

    For example, if you want to lose weight, you could write down a short life story like this one: I want to lose weight to feel good when I look in the mirror, walk proudly on the beach, draw more attention from the opposite gender, be able to climb the highest mountains and enjoy high levels of energy every day.

    Then you need to set a hypothesis. You assume, with an educated guess, what will work better for you, option A or option B. The idea of conducting an experiment is that you validate or disprove your assumption. That’s why you need a hypothesis, but that also means you must detach yourself from the hypothesis and have no problem being wrong. You have to properly manage your ego.

    The main value of experimenting is to not act based on your wrong assumptions, but based on superior insights that you gather with experimenting. To do that, you must have no problem being wrong. You must be committed to finding what works best for you, no matter how many times you fail.

    When you state a hypothesis, you make an educated guess. Now, educated is quite an important part of it. Before doing an experiment, you always have to educate yourself.

    In our case of dieting, that would mean reading a few books about dieting and a healthy lifestyle, analyzing what options you have, thinking about past experiences and what worked best for you, and so on. You can’t just blindly do an experiment; you have to do an initial investment to get at least a little bit educated. That’s what most experiments require.

    Now comes the hardest part. In the online world, it’s very easy to set the metrics and then track what works and what doesn’t. In personal life, it’s not so simple, but there are metrics you can rely on if you think hard enough. You can gather feedback in four different ways:

    • Internal metrics – your body, mind, heart and soul metrics or, in other words, what’s happening with you as a person and whether things are going in the right direction for you as an individual.
    • External metrics – the feedback you get from your environment and how your environmental variables change with you changing yourself, including your relationships, balance sheet, public status and potential promotions.
    • Hard core (cold) metrics – They can be internal or external, but they are always numbers and measured facts that most often show the cold, hard reality. You never lose body fat as fast as you would want to.
    • Soft (reflective) metrics – All the qualitative data you gather, together with your feelings, opinions and all other descriptive metrics.

    Here are examples of different types of metrics. Body fat percentage is an internal hard core metric. How happy you are following diet A or B is an internal reflective metric. Because you often lie to yourself, an opinion of your spouse of how happy you seemed every day on diet A and diet B is an external reflective metric. The number of hours spent preparing food for diet A or B is an external hardcore metric.

    There are two other types of metrics you have to know – actionable and vanity metrics. As I mentioned, we all have a tendency to lie to ourselves. To protect our self-image and ego. We all like to focus on vanity metrics and deceive ourselves that we are better than we actually are. Vanity metrics are all the metrics that give you a good feeling about yourself, but in reality you are making no progress. You should avoid them.

    Examples of doing vanity actions regarding a diet would be:

    • Only reading and getting educated but in reality doing nothing
    • Focusing only on how much you weigh, but not on body fat percentage and all other metrics
    • Going on a diet for two weeks and then going back to your old lifestyle, where you only lose water
    • Following an extreme diet that hurts your health
    • Starting to use olive oil for your salad and assuming you live a healthy lifestyle

    When you have your metrics in place, it’s time to conduct an experiment. This is again the simpler part. For a period of time you do A, then for a period of time you do B, and you regularly gather data and measure results during both periods. It takes some effort, but it’s not that hard to do. Then you compare the results and draw conclusions from your experiment. Let’s look at a concrete example of how to do that.

    Split testing

    Practical examples

    Example of split testing in personal life

    It’s time for a practical example of how to do a split test in personal life. Since we already talked a lot about how to apply experimenting in finding a perfect diet, let’s build up our case on the same example.

    Let’s say that you’re trying to decide whether to eat meat or not (to become a vegetarian, in other words), even though you want to gain muscle mass and thus need to consume enough protein (the easiest way to consume enough protein is to eat meat).

    First we have to define how to perform an experiment. A framework could look like this:

    • Consume 2g of protein per 1kg of body weight, which sums to 150g of protein daily
    • Get 30g of protein with every meal during 5 meals per day
    • Keep the work‑out regimen the same during the experiment time
    • Keep as many other variables the same as possible– sleep pattern, stress levels, water intake etc.
    • Option A: You eat a 150g steak 2x per day, 1x 300g cottage cheese or 3 eggs, 2x protein shake
    • Option B: Instead of meat, you eat 100g of soy, 50g of seitan (wheat gluten), 3 eggs or the macro equivalent of dairy

    Of course you should prepare a more detailed eating plan that’s comparable in macro- and micro-nutrients. You try to isolate the variable you measure (eating meat or not) as much as possible, while keeping all other factors the same. You can then decide to follow option A for three months and option B for three months.

    A professional nutritionist can give you additional recommendations and directions on how to do an experiment (always consult experts when doing experiments with your body, wealth, and other important life areas!).

    In the next step, you need to define metrics. You can measure how the change in your diet affects your body composition, fitness performance, overall health, energy levels, schedule, how well you’re feeling and many other different metrics that are important to you. You should focus on the most important metrics (the ones that matter to you the most as an individual), not to get overwhelmed. For example, you could choose the following metrics:

    • Blood analysis (laboratory)
    • Weight (kg)
    • Body fat percentage (%)
    • Circumference of core muscles (cm)
    • Fitness performance – aerobic endurance, muscle endurance, strength (with standard metrics)
    • Your energy levels (on a scale from 1 to 10)
    • Your general happiness levels (with happiness index)
    • How long it takes to prepare meals (in hours)
    • How hard it is to get proper meals when eating out
    • Social pressure that you get
    • How the diet impacts your grocery budget
    • Other metrics you might find important

    Since going from a vegetarian diet to eating meat is a big change, it makes sense to take more metrics into consideration. With minor changes, you can go with way fewer metrics. You can also skip all the metrics that aren’t very important to you. For example, if you are wealthy and have an unlimited budget for food, you don’t have to measure changes in your budget for grocery shopping. It all depends on the goals you have.

    Then you create a new spreadsheet, you build Excel tables for all the metrics, and you note the results you get every day (here is an example). After conducting the experiment, you draw the conclusions and go for option A or option B.

    I did exactly that when I had to make a decision whether I should start eating meat after 7 years of being vegetarian and vegan. Because it wasn’t an easy choice, I needed strong arguments and facts that eating meat works better for me.

    When I changed my diet, my blood analysis got way better, I gained 10 kg of muscles, my fitness performance improved and I had way more energy. It was an extremely hard change for me to make, because I really wanted to be vegan, but all the metrics except my ego were showing a different direction.

    Homework

    There are so many different split tests you can do

    If you are a little bit creative, there are many different split tests you can do. Below is a list of split testing examples I regularly do (and a few additional ideas I have for how you could use this experimenting methodology):

    • Eat a certain food for a period of time and then don’t (sugar, fruits, diary …).
    • Drink only water for 3 weeks and for 3 weeks all different kinds of beverages you usually drink.
    • Compare two different types of exercises to find out which works better for you.
    • For a month, use a few core food supplements and for a month eat none.
    • Build landing pages for two of your business ideas and drive some traffic to it to see which one gets more interest.
    • Compare having a credit card in your life with having none at all.
    • Try two different operating systems on your computer for a month.
    • Join two projects in different industries and compare which industry works better for you.
    • Use social media/phone/read news for a month and then don’t use it at all for a month.
    • Do a 30 Day Challenge and then compare your life with the previous month.
    • Socialize like the biggest party animal for a month, and then go into monk mode for a month.
    • Live without a car for a month and then live for a year with the most expensive car you can afford.
    • Compliment your spouse every day for 14 days and compare it to previous regular 14 days.
    • Work 10 hours a day for 14 days and then 7 hours for 14 days.

    There are so many options and so many things you can try and experiment with. You just have to be a little bit creative, curious and bold. The rule is simple. Always be testing, and put everything to the test. You should constantly experiment with different life settings, and compare different options you have in order to find the ones that work best for you.

    It makes life really interesting, fulfilling and exciting. Sometimes you can do an experiment very quickly and easily, especially for minor decisions, and sometimes you really have to dive in and do it obsessively like a crazy scientist. But it’s fun and it really is worth it.

    Now let’s get down to business. It’s time for you to brainstorm the first split test that you’ll do in your personal life (or choose one from all the ideas mentioned above.) Think hard.

    What is the split test you can do that has the potential to change your life in the most positive way? What kind of a test would give you insights into how you can change your lifestyle or redesign your life to be more successful and happier? Dive in, start experimenting, and put everything to the test.

  • Learning is useless, validated learning is everything

    Knowledge is not power. Applying knowledge is power. Learning is useless. Validated learning is everything. If there is a single skill you have to learn to be massively successful in the 21st century, it’s validated learning. It’s the only way to build a superior life strategy.

    The concept of validated learning comes from the lean startup. The validated learning loop helps quickly validate or reject core business hypotheses. Instead of blindly trusting your business idea, you build a minimum viable product and then use a special set of metrics to validate the effect. You build a feature, you measure the results and so you learn what to do next – persevere or pivot.

    The same process of learning can be extremely useful in personal life. I use it all the time, to learn extremely fast and to get insights into what works for me and what doesn’t.

    Validated learning

    Validated learning in personal life

    Validated learning in personal life is a process of acquiring a new chunk of knowledge, immediately putting it into practice and then measuring results to validate the effects – if there is any value or not.

    What you learn in the process should also lead you to the next step, to the next chunk of knowledge to acquire and test. It’s a loop that enables you extremely fast personal growth and progress towards your goals.

    The process or the personal validated learning loop consists of three steps:

    1. Acquiring knowledge chunks
    2. Immediate implementation
    3. Validated learning based on metrics

    Here’s a table defining all three categories in more detail (with examples):

    Knowledge chunks Immediate implementation Validated learning
    Creative ideas Self-reflection and analysis Life metrics
    Listening to lectures Engaging discussion Superior insights
    Listening to audio books Scenario-based thinking Works
    Reading Changing behavior Doesn’t work
    Watching educational videos Performing an experiment Makes me happy
    Witnessing a demonstration Trying something new Doesn’t make me happy
    Observing Changing values or angle Leads me towards my goals
    Doing research Teaching others Distracts me from my goals

    Now let’s dive deeper into each of the three categories to explore why they’re important.

    Acquiring knowledge chunks

    The scientifically proven best way to learn is to use the chunking strategy. Chunks are small units of knowledge that go logically together and that you can easily practice, revise and remember. You break larger pieces of knowledge you want to learn into small chunks.

    By mastering each chunk separately, you can effectively learn the whole body of knowledge without feeling overwhelmed or losing comprehension.

    There are many ways how you can acquire knowledge chunks. I often call this “downloading” knowledge. You can listen to lectures or audio books, you can read books or articles, you might watch educational videos or even be present at a live demonstration of how to do something. You can also gain knowledge by observing, doing research and let’s add your own creative ideas into the knowledge chunks family.

    Here’s the important part. If you stop at this point, you only learn. And that’s more or less useless. You have to take a step further to turn knowledge into real power. You have to implement it and measure where the new knowledge is leading you.

    Immediate implementation

    When you acquire a new chuck of knowledge, you want to put it to the test as quickly as possible. But you want to do implementation in a smart way. Thus the first next step after “downloading” knowledge is to process it.

    You process knowledge by connecting a new chunk to whatever you already know, with self-reflection, by starting a discussion, analyzing how the new knowledge can be used or applied, and so on. The bottom line of processing knowledge is the strategy of how to best put the knowledge to practice.

    Then comes the most important part – actually applying knowledge to practice. When it comes to applying knowledge to practice, there is a simple rule. If you don’t change your thoughts, words and actions or, in other words, behavior, you haven’t learned anything new.

    If you don’t change your behavior, you haven’t learned anything new.

    Well, I’m getting a little bit ahead of myself, because you should permanently change your behavior only after validated learning. First you have to see if the new chunk of knowledge is useful in any way.

    You put new knowledge to the test by conducting controllable experiments. You try a new behavior, a way to look at things or you put knowledge to practice and then observe and measure the results. You gather internal and external feedback. Let’s look at a few examples (from my own life).

    Practical examples
    • You read an article on how to write effective headlines. You immediately apply it to your articles and measure click-through rates.
    • In a psychology book, you read about an exercise on how to talk back to your inner critic. You immediately take a piece of paper and do the exercise. Then you measure how good do you feel.
    • You learn a new coding thing you can do in CSS or Python and you immediately try it on one of your landing pages. You brainstorm where and when you can use the same feature.
    • You get an idea for how to improve your relationship with your spouse with an active constrictive response and you immediately start practicing it in communication and measure the relationship index.
    • You read relationship advice that when meeting new people “there is no ice to break”, we’re all already connected, and so you never look at unknown people the same again. You immediately see every person like there is already an existing connection so you can easily talk to them.
    • You do research on intermittent fasting and how it can help you lose weight, and you immediately try it for 14 days to see the results. You measure your body fat percentage etc.
    • You read an idea about how to measure relationship drama and immediately develop the idea much further in a blog post. You do an immediate assessment for your key relationships.

    you have to try

    Validated learning based on metrics

    The process doesn’t yet end with applying knowledge. When you change your behavior, you have to measure if applying knowledge makes sense and if it works for you as a unique individual. Be aware that many times it doesn’t and you have to revert back to old patterns or try new things.

    There’s nothing wrong if things don’t work as planned, that’s also part of validated learning. Every small failure leads you one step closer to success. Actually you never fail, you just find a way that doesn’t work. That means you’re a step closer to the right solution that will work.

    The point is, if you want to do validated learning, you have to measure where applying new knowledge is leading you. Based on that, you decide whether to pivot or not. There are two types of feedback you can lean on:

    • External feedback
    • Internal feedback

    Internal feedback is all the feedback that you gather with self-reflection and it comes from within, from yourself. These are metrics that show your happiness levels (happiness index, for example), your changes in competence levels, whether you’re getting closer to your personal goals, and we can also include feedback from your body and many other personal life metrics.

    External feedback is all the feedback you gather from your environment; from the people you work with to how your changes are related to environmental paradigms. You want to make sure that your environment supports you and that you adjust your strategy and tactics to the point where they enable you to achieve your goals as smoothly as possible.

    You measure your feedback based on different metrics. Metrics can be qualitative or quantitative, but they show you real progress and the direction you’re going to. Below are some examples of life metrics you can measure. The best way is to analyze all the feedback you gather regularly during bi-weekly self-reflection intervals.

    Health Money
    • Exercise frequency
    • Potential progress of illness
    • Managing your body weak points
    • Regular blood test
    • Body composition (% of fat, muscle size)
    • Aerobic endurance (run a mile, VO2 max)
    • Muscular endurance (push-up test, plank test)
    • Muscular strength (one-rep max)
    • Flexibility (yoga poses)
    • Personal income statement
      • Earned income
      • Passive income
      • Portfolio income
    • Expenses
    • Taxes
    • Monthly plus/minus
    • Net-worth
      • Assets
      • Doodads
      • Liabilities (Debt)
    Career Relationships
    • Your company position (employment contract vs. organizational chart)
    • Public influence (number of interviews, public ratings)
    • Social media influence (Klout score)
    • Work enjoyment (from 1 to 10)
    • Professional connections
    • Your legacy (number of positive ideas that influenced local/global society)
    • Number of close friends you have
    • Time spent with the people you love
    • How much you do for your partner (massage, dinner, etc.)
    • How much you get out of a relationship (giving and receiving must be in balance)
    • How often you say I love you
    • How often you give a compliment to your partner
    • How often you make love
    Competences Mind/Emotions
    • Number of books you read
    • Number of seminars you visit
    • Domain knowledge you possess
    • Number of skills you master
    • Number of tech skills
    • Number of creative ideas you have
    • Your IQ
    • Your EQ
    • How well you are able to control your mind (your maximum meditating time)
    • Your daily Happiness index
    • Number of negative thoughts daily (with use of emotional accounting)
    • Dominating cognitive distortions
    • Number of new things you tried in life
    • Number of breathtaking experiences you have encountered etc.
    • Other metrics as part of your life strategy (countries you traveled to, number of languages you speak etc.)

    How you should measure your success in life? Compare…

    • Your current metrics on different life areas
    • Your past metrics on different life areas (past month, year etc.)
    • Don’t compare yourself to others too much (only healthy competition is okay I guess)

    Besides gaining superior insights about yourself and your environment, effective learning also has to always result in permanent changes in your behavior; of course if the new change works for you and you don’t decide to revert or pivot.

    After every experiment, you have to consciously decide and draw the bottom line of validated learning in terms like: it works for me, it doesn’t work, it makes me happy, it doesn’t make me happy, it leads me towards my goals, it distracts me from my goals, it’s something I really want, it’s something that I only thought I will like but I don’t, it gives results, it doesn’t give results.

    You can make these final bottom line decisions on the “knowledge chunk” retrospection when you do self-reflections. You answer a few basic, but very hard questions:

    • What can I do or what do I know that I didn’t know before and what was the best way to apply it?
    • What went well using the new chunk of knowledge?
    • What didn’t go as well as expected?
    • What is the next thing I have to learn or how should I improve my “knowledge chunk”?

    Based on that, you should make three final decisions and stick to them:

    • What will I start doing based on the new knowledge acquired?
    • What will I stop doing based on the new knowledge acquired?
    • What will I continue doing based on the new knowledge acquired?

    You can do this really fast in a few minutes, you don’t have to do a whole dissertation out of every small new thing that you learn. The whole point is to apply knowledge as quickly as possible and then measure its effect and analyze if the change works for you or not.

    If we go to the cases I previously mentioned, I kept the exercise of how to talk to the inner critic and I do it on a regular basis, I always immediately use new coding knowledge (and forget what I don’t reuse), I’ve been doing intermittent fasting for months now, and I broke off all relationships with too much drama.

    The “there is no ice” thing only works for me in certain situations, since I’m an introvert and mostly prefer to spend time alone or with carefully selected people. So I often prefer to shy away rather than open a conversation with a stranger.

    And I still have a problem with headlines, because there are competing commitments (two contrary goals you want to achieve) behind, so I have to resolve some emotional issues before permanently implementing the knowledge.

    You learn so much about yourself, the world and how to use new knowledge if you do regular reflections and commit to validated learning.

    Theory into practice

    Implementing effective validated learning and a learning queue

    I’ve mentioned chunking as an important learning strategy. When you do validated learning, you want to make sure you’re learning as effectively as possible.

    You want to learn fast, but you also want to make sure that you really acquire knowledge and put it to the test, that you don’t lose comprehension when you are learning, and that you strategically decide what to learn next. You have to be a proactive learner with a strong attention span, not a reactive one.

    Skimming articles, superficial speed reading and being anxious when learning are the opposite of what you want to achieve with validated learning.

    In the same way, you don’t want to use learning as a handy excuse for failing. Oh I failed, but I learned a lot. Really, what did you learn? I don’t know. You want to be a really good strategic learner that knows how to transform knowledge into power. You want to learn from your failures and wrong assumptions. You want to be an effective validated learner.

    There are many concepts that can help you with that. From employing different learning styles and challenging yourself with tests to preparing a very well prioritized learning queue, using the just-in-time learning concept, helping yourself with flash cards and much more. We’ll talk about all these different learning techniques in the following blog posts.

    Until then make sure you are constantly improving and learning. Just make sure you aren’t only learning, but that you are really doing validated learning. Now you know how!

    Homework

    By reading this article you downloaded a new chunk of knowledge, so the next step you must take is to process it, apply it and then measure the results.

  • Rapid prototyping for designing a superior life strategy

    Finding what fits you best in order to design the perfect life you want and deserve takes a lot of experimenting. You have to try dozens of different things to find the one that works perfectly for you as a unique individual. In addition to that, “fits” are not a static thing. Your values, environment, the type of opportunities that you’re exposed to and the things you appreciate change over time. That means experimenting must be done constantly.

    Experimenting is fun by itself and you can enjoy many benefits doing it, but it’s also demanding and expensive. It takes a toll on your emotions, because you usually have to face a series of small failures in the beginning and you often need to invest at least some money into performing an experiment; besides time, energy and creativity, which are always needed.

    Every experiment does give you a lot – a diverse life experience, gaining insights about yourself and your environment, having lots of fun and putting your creative self to use. Nevertheless, only experimenting is never enough. The end goal of experimenting is to move forward and to progress much faster towards your goals. Experiments must lead you to validated learning that enables you to shape a superior life strategy.

    The sooner you shape a superior life strategy, the better off you will be in life. The idea of how to get to massive success is to move fast and learn fast. You have to conduct experiment after experiment until you nail it.

    You have to experiment all the way until you can finally move from the search mode into the execution mode. The problem is that a high frequency of many different types of experiments leads to using a lot of resources. And you don’t want to drown before you succeed.

    Luckily today with all the technology and tools available, you can do many experiments fast and they don’t cost a lot of money. The concept is known as rapid prototyping and it’s used in business all the time. In this article, you will learn how to use the same principle in your personal life.

    The main idea is very simple. With rapid prototyping in personal life, you want to get to the minimum viable experience as quickly as possible using the fewest resources. Before we go to many different ideas for using rapid prototyping in personal life, let’s quickly overview the main theory behind prototyping.

    3D Printing

    Prototyping and rapid prototyping

    You’re probably familiar with the word prototype. A prototype is a simplified early working model of a final product that demonstrates the key functionalities and benefits that the final product will provide.

    A prototype can be built to test if an idea even works, it can be built to explore additional ideas, for demonstration purposes and learning as much as possible about how to improve the final product so that the targeted segment will really use it.

    When building a prototype, the most important goal is to gather all the data and specifications to build a real working product in the next step. Prototyping is always far away from only talking about theoretical ideas. It’s the first big step towards realizing an idea. It means taking a theoretical idea and materializing it in its simplified form, so you can start learning how well the idea fits into the world.

    Prototype is a simulation of the final product so you can start learning as quickly as possible.

    We know low-fidelity prototypes that are really basic draft versions of a product. They are often only paper based and don’t allow any real interaction between a user and a prototype. The main goal of low-fidelity prototypes is to visualize solutions, explore alternative versions and encourage additional ideas. They are extremely inexpensive and can be built fast.

    And then we also know high-fidelity prototypes, which are much more perfected, exact and evident. They allow test groups at least some interaction and are much more effective in getting feedback. Their problem is, of course, that they demand more resources to be build.

    We also know different kinds of prototypes to gather different kinds of data and do different kinds of tests. There are proof-of-principle prototypes, the goal of which is to prove that an idea can work in real life. Then we have visual prototypes to get a good visual representation of how the final product would look like. A user experience prototype simulates the user’s experience with the final product. A functional prototype, on the other hand, puts visual representation and features to the test.

    With technology developing fast, there is a relatively new technique called rapid prototyping (wiki) that’s becoming more and more popular. With rapid prototyping, you can very quickly build a scale model of your final product or many different versions of it. With techniques like 3D printing, you can basically print dozens of different ideations fast.

    Besides 3D printing, there are many other awesome tools, apps and approaches that enable you to bring models and other representation types of your ideas to life inexpensively and while your ideas are still hot.

    Rapid prototyping means that you can test many different ideas in a short time frame, gather all the necessary feedback and move fast towards the solutions that work the best.

    Don’t talk about it, do, try, experience or show.

    Rapid Prototyping

    Get educated and then start experimenting as quickly as possible

    There are several prototyping phases or, to be more exact, steps before you start prototyping. The standard phases are:

    • Understand
    • Observe
    • Define
    • Ideate
    • Prototype
    • Test

    In the understand, observe and define phase you gather all the data needed to start prototyping. In this phase it’s most often necessary to get well educated. There are rare exceptions when you want to take a fresh look on an old thing, but many times extensive research and acquiring knowledge helps a lot.

    When you have the basic knowledge and landscape, you can better orientate yourself towards what exactly you want to achieve and find out by experimenting. You also have an understanding of what other people have already tried, and even more importantly what they have missed.

    Especially when experimenting in personal life, it’s extremely important to get very well educated and completely understand the risk, rewards, investments needed and the process. When you understand all these things, you can put your creative mind to work. After you get educated and brainstorm all the potential ideas, the goal you want to achieve with prototyping in personal life is to get a real-life experience as soon as possible.

    When designing a prototype, you try to get to the minimum viable experience as soon as possible with the fewest resources with which it can be done. The sooner you start building, the more motivated you are, and immediate implementation enables you to start learning from the beginning of the process.

    When you’re in the prototyping phase, you should also explore several options and ideas. You mustn’t get emotionally attached to only one potential solution. After defining your hypotheses and ideas for how you will perform an experiment, you have to start prototyping different solutions, test them and move on before you get fixed on any specific ideas.

    In the prototyping phase, you must keep your divergent thinking active, you must completely shut down your inner critic and keep your mind open.

    When you’re prototyping you are looking for two things – the ways to (1) improve current ideas and (2) completely new ideas. The first approach is called serial prototyping, which is a progressive method of upgrading known ideas. It means that you are looking for new versions of the same solutions.

    The second approach is called parallel prototyping, where you are looking for ideas in completely new directions. You are looking for something that doesn’t exist yet at all.

    Minimum Viable Experience is a process of idea generation, prototyping, presentation, data collection, analysis and learning about yourself and your environment.

    No matter if you are doing serial or parallel prototyping, you want your prototypes to be simple, provide rapid feedback, help you embrace change and, last but not least, prototyping should be fun. You may be more limited when you’re experimenting and prototyping in personal life than when you are dealing with business ideas, because you’re rarely building a new product, but instead you just want to experience something new.

    Nevertheless, if you are creative enough, there is always a way to acquire new experiences without diving in fully and risking everything. Even in personal life there is always a way to first test something in a controlled way with some kind of a prototype.

    The most important knowledge and feedback you’re looking for from conducting experiments with prototypes are:

    • Main insights
    • What worked
    • What didn’t work
    • New questions and doubts
    • New ideas for experiments
    • New ideas in general

    Examples of rapid prototyping in personal life

    The main goal of performing an experiment in personal life is very simple. You want to learn in a very controlled environment or in a very controlled way if something (an idea) works as planned, or you want to better understand how the world works.

    You want to get one step closer to the objective truth and get rid of your subjective cognitions and wrong assumptions. You do that by employing the search mode concept and undertaking a scientific approach to experimenting.

    You set hypotheses, define how you will collect and analyze data, and then you perform experiments and draw conclusions. Consequently, you validate or disprove your hypotheses. That leads to validated learning and insights.

    You can make decisions and take actions based on more accurate data. Prototyping is one of the ways how you can perform the data-gathering part of an experiment. Luckily, there are many different types of prototypes that can help you achieve that.

    Below are listed the most popular prototyping techniques together with a few ideas for how you can use each technique in your personal life.

    1. Genchi Genbutsu
    2. Pen and paper
    3. Mockups and models
    4. Wizard of Oz test
    5. Storyboards and use cases
    6. Video prototyping and simulations
    7. Role-playing
    8. Mind-mapping
    9. Scenarios and flow charts
    10. Templates and guidelines

    Genchi Genbutsu

    Genchi Genbutsu

    Genchi Genbutsu is not really a prototyping technique, but the main way of experimenting in personal life. It’s means “go and see” or “go out of the building” to gain first-hand knowledge. In other words, try it and see for yourself whether something works for you or not.

    The highest number of experiments you’ll probably do in life are the ones where you try and experience something new and then observe metrics – either your body metrics, your feelings, your capabilities or any other type of life metrics. You try a new behavior and then observe yourself and your environment. In today’s times, you can try many different things easily and inexpensively. All you need is a little bit of courage.

    Practical examples

    You can try many different sports, diets, types of arts and everything else life has to offer. You live in the best times ever to discover yourself and find the things you are really good at and that you enjoy. You can test different kinds of behaviors in real life and what kind of feedback they give you, you can test different types of habits, technology and careers.

    There are almost no limits to what you can try. You can rent an expensive bike for a downhill ride. You can join a hobby group and try any kind of art or other discipline. You have so many resources to try coding. You can join an afternoon project in an industry you’re attracted to. Genchi Genbutsu.

    Pen and paper

    Pen and paper

    Using pen and paper is the fastest and cheapest form of prototyping. It can be done anywhere and anytime, as long as you have paper and a pencil somewhere at hand – which I absolutely recommend that you do. When an idea comes to mind or when you need to develop one, you simply sketch it on paper. As an alternative, you can also use the origami technique to present some ideas with paper.

    The freedom of pen and paper often encourages experimentation and generation of new ideas. There is a special connection between your mind, hand and pen. You don’t have to be Picasso to sketch, it’s only about giving shape to your ideas and doing many iterations fast. Nobody will judge your prototypes.

    Practical examples

    You can use pen and paper to brainstorm ideas. You can use pen and paper to do self-reflection and understand yourself better. You can draft a flat or a house you desire. You can draw a persona or write an essay about your perfect spouse or ideal self.

    You can easily draw a table with all the pros and cons for a certain decision so you can decide more easily. You can outline what kind of a personal blog you’d like to have. You can try to write a poem or a love letter. You can sketch different ideas.

    lego model mockup

    Mockups and models

    Mockups are slightly advanced representations of ideas. They are 3D illustrations or models that represent the core design and simulate at least some functionalities of the final product. Mockups are an extremely popular design prototyping technique. There are many different types, like models or even wireframes that represent an idea of how a website should work.

    You can use many different approaches and techniques to do mockups. You can use different software applications, you can build physical models from cardboards, paper, woods and other materials. Not to forget 3D printing. You can take advantage of to print actual models of the ideas you have.

    Practical examples

    I’m currently testing a standing desk with nothing but a simple model. The model is made out of a wardrobe and a rack. Many do-it-yourself things would fall into this category of prototyping. From office organization and storage solutions to 3D printing of the things you like, there are many ways to use simplified solutions, models, mock-ups and creative innovations instead of buying expensive products and solutions.

    At this point, we should also mention crowdfunding and crowdsourcing ideas to get feedback from the community or even to fund your ideas. Today you can easily show your ideas to the world and get immediate feedback. With Minimum Viable Products, you can also easily test market interest for your ideas.

    Wizard of oz

    Wizard of Oz test

    The idea behind the Wizard of Oz test is that you somehow fake a functionality you want to build. You do that primarily to save resources. The technique is used extensively in software development.

    For example, you can test a new software functionality, but instead of coding it and having a computer perform the functionalities and all the interactions, it can be done by a human with remote control technologies. A tester doesn’t know that, of course.

    Practical examples

    Examples of Wizard of Oz tests in personal life would be to inexpensively try something you want in order to see if it really brings you happiness. Rent a Ferrari for a day and imagine it’s yours. Try to live in a foreign country for a month before you finally move there. Go to a tech store and spend an hour playing with a computer you want to buy.

    Or, for example, you can learn 100 most popular phrases of a new language, try to use it on the street and see how it feels to speak a new language. Sometimes you can fake it until you make it; or decide to not make it at all, because it’s not for you.

    Story board

    Storyboards and use cases

    With a storyboard, you can describe the whole desired user experience through a series of sketches and images. Storyboards are a great way to brainstorm additional ideas, think of alternative scenarios and all the ways how things can go right or wrong.

    You can also use storyboards to describe different use cases of ideas and products; or you can employ use cases as a standalone prototyping technique.

    Practical examples

    A Kanban board is kind of a storyboard representing your sprint or to-do list. You can use a storyboard to describe how you could/should act in certain situations – when your boss criticizes you, for example. You can outline all the ways how you could use a specific product or how certain ideas could improve your life.

    You can use storyboards to prepare yourself for public appearances or how you will tell your kids a story in the best way possible. You can sketch life stories with storyboards. And you don’t need any drawing skills for storyboards, there are many online solutions that can help you with that.

    video prototype

    Video prototyping and simulations

    The idea of video prototyping is that you illustrate your main idea using video or by making a movie. You can prepare a short movie or a different kind of visual representation. An alternative to videos are also interactive or non-interactive simulations.

    Practical examples

    Make a video of your perfect life or your perfect self. Design a short motivational video clip on the topic of why you want to be rich. Prepare a video as part of your CV. Open a YouTube channel to connect with like‑minded people. Prepare a video simulation of your dream house.

    Role playing

    Role-playing

    Role-playing is a great way to develop empathy. You take on a role of another person and try to experience a situation or use a product from their perspective. It helps you understand their point of view. When you’re role-playing, it makes sense to focus on what the person you are impersonating would say, do, think and feel.

    Practical examples

    You can role-play with your spouse to better understand each other. You can play a role of what kind of a person you would be with a certain characteristic you currently don’t possess and how your life would unfold in the future (the so-called Fixed Role Therapy). You can role-play an action you’re afraid of doing, especially involving authorities that make you freeze up.

    Mind map

    Mind-mapping

    Mind-mapping means using diagrams to visually organize information. It allows you to represent different hierarchies and relations between elements. Mind-mapping is a great way to brainstorm ideas and outline complex structures. It’s also a very suitable technique for how your brain works. Many smart people use mind maps to learn faster, brainstorm and do analytical work.

    Practical examples

    You can use mind maps for brainstorming ideas, breaking down complex subjects or grasping the main ideas of the book you just read.

    You can use mind maps for strategic planning, personal project management, problem solving, job searching, as a life planner, to-do list, travel plan, risk management or even a personal training plan. There are basically unlimited options for how you can use mind maps.

    Flow chart

    Scenarios and flow charts

    Flowcharts are used to explain a process, algorithm or workflow. Steps of the process are visualized with boxes and arrows showing connections between different steps.

    An important part of every process are also decisions that need to be taken in order for the process to be completed one way or another. Decisions are usually visualized in diamond-shaped boxes in the chart. By using a flowchart, you can easily understand the process from the beginning to the end.

    Scenarios, on the other hand, aren’t diagrammatic representations of a process, but a written description of a sequence of desired events, illustrating all the activities that need to be performed in the real-world environment to achieve a specific goal.

    With scenarios, you can describe in detail how a certain system, process or application already works and why it’s important, or you can describe hypothetical scenarios of what could happen in different settings with different products, knowledge, people etc.

    Practical examples

    You can prepare a flowchart of how you will get your job or find your perfect spouse. You can combine the flowchart technique with the AARRR funnel. You can prepare a flowchart for how you will get fit or rich or prioritize what you will learn first in your hour of power.

    With flowcharts, you can define different milestones in your relationships or life in general, analyze in which directions your big decisions could lead you or prepare a step-by-step career development plan.

    You can do pretty much the same by using scenarios as you can do with flowcharts. It all depends on which technique works better for you. With scenarios, you can prepare detailed descriptions of how your life would look like in different settings; for example, if you lived in a flat or a house.

    You can develop alternative paths for your life when you’re making big decisions to have detailed representations of where each decision would lead you. You can prepare scenarios as an input for visualization.

    Excel template

    Templates and guidelines

    Templates and guidelines are a kind of framework for better decision-making or performing certain actions in a very standardized way. A template is a layout that you can use over and over again to save time, energy, decision-making power and other resources.

    Guidelines are nothing but general rules, pieces of advice and principles that you follow. Templates and guides should help you work smart, not only hard.

    Practical examples

    You can prepare a budgeting template that you use to manage your finances. You can prepare work guidelines or time management guidelines or guidelines for how you will raise your kids in order to agree on the main parenting things with your spouse.

    You can prepare household guidelines with clarifications of who does what. A personal not-to-do list is a type of a personal guideline.

    Homework

    It’s time to start prototyping

    There are so many ways how you can prototype; and there are so many tools you can use for it. Specialized apps and online tools, boards, paper only, pen and paper, spreadsheets, text editing software, 3D printing, building models at home from different materials, “go out and see” philosophy, PowerPoint presentations, 3D modeling tools etc. The options are endless; you just have to be a little bit creative.

    By knowing all these creative endeavors for living a more diverse and fulfilling life, you simply can’t get bored. There is always something to build, something to test, there are so many different things you can try and do. There are so many different ways how you can play and progress fast at the same time.

    You don’t have to be a creative genius. You just have to appreciate life enough, be curious and nurture a desire to live a rich life experience. If you can’t find enough motivation, remember that you are going to die someday. Your time here is limited, so don’t waste your life.

    It doesn’t matter if your prototypes aren’t as good as the ones from Apple. But what does matter a lot is how full is the life you’ll live and what your life strategy will be. I suggest you decide for a smart and superior life strategy. The one that works in the 21st century. So start creating, prototyping and experimenting.

    Brainstorm what would be the coolest first prototype you can design and then go into action. Go out and see, be bold and start playing.

  • This is how to do experiments in your personal life (outside the bedroom)

    When you hear the word experiment, you probably think of a crazy scientist sitting in his laboratory and mixing some kind of chemical compounds. There also must be an explosion, I guess.

    While experiments are most often linked to science, they are very useful in many other disciplines, from arts to business and sports. By following the AgileLeanLife Productivity Framework, experiments should also become a very important tool in your personal life.

    The purpose of performing an experiment in science is very simple. You want to either see if something (an idea) works as planned and desired in a very controlled environment or you want to better understand how the world works, you want to get one step closer to the objective truth.

    With experiments you want to gain new knowledge, innovate and better understand the truth.

    Here’s the question: aren’t all these things also extremely useful in personal life? They absolutely are. That’s why a scientific approach to life pays big dividends. By conducting a series of experiments in personal life in the search mode, you can enjoy benefits like:

    • Better understanding yourself and what you want
    • Better understanding other people and how you can forge better relationships with them
    • Finding something that is really your fit and you can build massive success on
    • Discovering your talents and things you are good at
    • Exploring crazy ideas that can accelerate your massive success
    • Identifying trends and patterns in your environment
    • Setting a realistic execution strategy based on superior insights about your environment
    • Designing the perfect lifestyle you want and deserve
    • Having fun, trying as many things as possible and living a diverse life experience

    Isn’t that cool? And you don’t need a lot. A hypothesis, an idea how to perform an experiment, metrics, and some guts. No, you don’t have to be a crazy scientist. Well, maybe a little bit. By reading this article, you will learn everything you need to know about conducting experiments in your personal life in order to build yourself a superior life strategy.

    From the easiest to the toughest experiments in personal life

    You’ve probably heard of Maslow’s hierarchy of needs. Maslow’s hierarchy of needs is portrayed as a pyramid with six different types of needs, from the most basic and primitive ones to the cosmopolitan and higher ones. The most basic ones are physiological needs like air, water, food and sex.

    Then we have safety needs like personal and financial security. The next ones are needs of love and belonging to family, friends and a spouse. Then self-esteem comes into play, giving a sense of contribution and value. The final ones, on top of the pyramid, are self-actualization needs.

    Maslows Hierarchy Of Needs

    Why is that important? Well, because on the lower level of the pyramid, you already conducted several experiments in your past, even if you didn’t call them experiments. Here’s what I have in mind:

    • You probably tried holding your breath for as long as possible underwater.
    • I assume you haven’t eaten only one type of food in your whole life. You probably tried many different foods and dishes until you found your favorite ones.
    • I know it depends on where you live and on your religion and family values, but there is a great chance you experimented a little bit in your sex life. At least with a few different positions or partners.

    These were all very basic life experiments. You tried something new and then decided whether it works for you or not. Your taste, your emotions and your body were the feedback mechanism. Now, the question is why does experimenting after food and sex becomes less frequent.

    Ego investments prevent experimenting

    Performing experiments in personal life becomes less frequent because of the risk-reward ratio and because you’re heavily invested in specific behavioral patterns with your beliefs, emotions, money and other resources. I will give you an example of being invested in religious values, because it’s just the most obvious example and since we already talked about food and sex.

    If you’re an atheist in the developed world, you can experiment with many different dishes and cuisines, with all the healthy foods known to humankind. If your religious beliefs forbid you from eating certain types of meat, you are emotionally invested in your beliefs and that limits the number of experiments you allow yourself to do. With sex and religion, everything becomes an even more delicate thing.

    Now, I’m not encouraging you to start breaking your moral, religious or any other kind of view, I just want to show how you’re invested in something with your ego, beliefs, and values. What’s more important is that everybody inherited thousands of different beliefs from their primary and secondary socialization.

    Some of these beliefs work and some of them don’t. Some of them make sense and some of them don’t. Some of them fit your character well, others only bring you frustration and prevent you from finding your perfect fit.

    There are many different types of inherited beliefs and learned behavioral patterns that may do you good or on the other hand that may be preventing you from finding a better way to live life. Here are examples of the bad ones:

    • Beliefs about yourself or the so-called self-labels: I am lazy; I am hardworking; I am not that smart …
    • Beliefs about money: I will never be rich, money is bad, investing is not for me …
    • Political beliefs: Everybody is entitled to own a gun, we don’t need a social system …
    • Beliefs about the opposite gender and other people: All men cheat, people are bad …
    • All different kinds of beliefs and values, especially the things for which you are 100 % certain you’re right about

    There are absolutely good beliefs, values and social norms that must be respected. Not breaking the law, respecting other people, taking care of the community etc. But all of us also have many toxic beliefs in which we are invested, and they prevent you from designing the perfect life you want and deserve and limit all the things you can try and experiment with.

    With false investments, we can become our own worst enemies.

    Here are a few more examples how limiting and toxic beliefs usually prevent you to experiment:

    If you’ve always seen yourself as a lazy person, it may be hard for you to work hard as hell for a month as an experiment. But what if you’d enjoy it? On the other hand, if you always strongly believed that you must work hard and earn money for yourself, you may have a problem enjoying social benefits from the government when you lose a job or asking for help when needed. But what if people are willing to help and you are not on your own?

    If you were taught to always go for a safe job, you might not even think about starting your own business, even if you’re a talented entrepreneur. If at home, vegetarians were always seen as weird people, you probably won’t ever experiment with a vegetarian diet. If you believe people are bad in general, how can you experiment with different levels of trust?

    Believe in yourself, but doubt your beliefs. Instead try and see.

    Get out of the comfort zone

    The risk-reward ratio and experimenting

    The higher you move on the Maslow’s hierarchy of needs, the worse the risk-reward factor is. At least instinctively and at the first glance. Much like you are invested in your values and beliefs, so you are also emotionally, financially and in many other different ways invested in your current life settings.

    If you want to change your life settings, you have to take some risks, you have to move out of the comfort zone. You have to either change and improve yourself, or invest your energy into new things. But rewards aren’t even that certain. You may find a better position or you may not, who knows. What am I talking about?

    • If you stay in a relationship, you know the short-term risk-reward ratio pretty well, but what if you break the relationship and go find a person who’s a better fit for you? It’s a big risk, and rewards aren’t that certain.
    • If you stay at your current job, again you know the short-term risk-reward ratio. You have a contract that determines it. But what if you quit the job and start your own business or try to find work that you enjoy more? It’s quite risky and rewards aren’t that certain.
    • At the top of Maslow’s hierarchy is self-actualization. What does that even mean, at the end of the day, you have bills to pay.

    Disinvesting yourself from one thing and investing into a new one is risky. Because there are many unknowns. You need to be bold and brave, having an explorer’s soul to experiment on the higher levels.

    You must be really determined to make the most out of your life and find who you are together with what fits you perfectly. Only extremely flexible people have no problem disinvesting their resources from one thing and investing them into another.

    But luckily, today the risk-reward factor is greatly improving to your advantage.

    Experiments in personal life

    You are lucky, today experimenting is easy for the first time in history

    Not everything is so dark. There’s some big good news. We live in the best times ever to experiment. At least in most parts of the world. Today you have so many options, so many ways to try new things without any huge risks and without serious investments of your resources.

    You only have to be smart about it. In experiments, you can always more or less properly mitigate the risk-reward ratio. It’s not like you are risking your life, like you used to. Today you can always conduct experiments in a very controlled way. You can always take a step back if things don’t go into the right direction.

    You just have to learn to manage your ego properly and you have to nurture your curious soul that desires to explore and find itself.

    You can easily try dozens of sports to find the one that works best for you. You can easily try several different diets in a very controlled way to find the one that fits you best. You can try many different occupations and jobs in your free time to discover your true talents and what you’re good at.

    You can easily try many different investments. You can even practice many different religions to see what gives you the best results (without getting killed). You can experience many different relationships, try many different hobbies, experiment with different cuisines and dishes, you can try several types of arts, you can easily acquire all sorts of knowledge online, there are so many ways to make the world a better place.

    You can try dozens of things to find your fits that work best for you. Your fits in different areas of life should become like small mosaics in the canvas on which you design your perfect life. I follow this philosophy all the time. I tried all kinds of different things to find my fits.

    I discovered my favorite sports, diet, dishes, people, industries, talents, personality characteristics, intimate preferences, thinking techniques, technology, home settings, how I work, creative endeavors, everything. And it’s awesome, you really live the life that’s meant for you, and you get to live the richest life possible.

    Because in the end, you only have two options. Your life can be either a daring adventure or nothing. Your life will definitely be nothing if you don’t have the courage to get off your sofa and explore a little bit. You have to try different things and see what works best for you. Don’t assume, try.

    Today, the times are too great to settle for the first job you get, for the first partner you date, for the default behavioral patterns that you inherited, for the foods you always ate at home and for everything else that comes to your life by default. There are exceptions, but in most cases it does pay off to go out and explore. It does pay off to go out and see how varied the world is. It does pay off to experiment. Now the only question left is how to do it.

    Subjective assessment

    How to do experiments in your personal life

    It’s very easy to perform experiments in your personal life. The most important thing is that you write down all the things and insights, and that you do it in a very systematic way. You especially can’t rely only on your memory because you quickly tend to forget things, especially important details.

    Here’s what you need:

    • A notebook: Digital or physical one to write things down.
    • A purpose or a goal: A short description of what you’re trying to achieve and targeted improvements.
    • A hypothesis: It’s an educated guess based on your prior experience and knowledge.
    • Data collection and methodology: A plan for how you will collect data and what kind of experiments you will perform. It’s very frequent that you conduct an experiment several times and that you also have a control group to compare the results with.
    • Data analysis and conclusion: You perform the experiments, you analyze the data and come to certain conclusions.
    • Insights: Beside the conclusions, it pays off to write down all kinds of different insights you gained while performing an experiment and all the new ideas you got along the way; especially which new experiments to perform.

    The purpose or the goal of experiments in life is quite clear. You want to find a job you enjoy and are good at. You want to find a diet that will enable you to have stable weight and enjoy high levels of energy. You might want to lose weight. You might want to find your dream partner or improve your financial situation. You want to improve your life somehow.

    There are many different types of goals you can achieve by experimenting in your personal life. If you aren’t sure where to begin, prepare a prioritized vision list (or you can find ideas at the end of this article). Now let’s look at the next steps after you define the goal you want to achieve.

    Breaking down a big goal into small experiments

    You want to break down your big goal into a series of small experiments. You should try to break down your overall goal into such small experimental pieces that you isolate your variables as much as possible and that you can really measure the things you want to measure.

    The best way to show you how to do this is by example.

    If you want to improve your financial situation, you might do the following breakdown: there are two general ways of experimenting for improving the money situation – one is saving more money and the other is earning more money. You can break down these two general ways into several experiments:

    “For saving money, I will experiment with automatic transfer of 10 % of my money to a savings account, spreadsheet budgeting and waiting for a week before doing any big purchases in order to manage impulse buying. I will try each of these ideas for a month. And for earning more money, I will try to start an online business in my free time or get an additional job.”

    Health assessment

    Getting educated

    When you’re breaking down your big goals, writing ideas for different experiments and setting your hypotheses, there is one more important step to make. You have to get educated. You have to get madly educated. Whatever you want to improve in your life, the first step is always to get educated really well.

    You need to do research, read a few books, write down everything you know about yourself and others, and then decide what you expect, what you think will happen. Since you aren’t doing real scientific experiments, your subjective evaluation will play a vital role in the process. Nevertheless, you should try to design your experiment as objectively as possible. But first always get educated.

    Writing down hypotheses and defining the experiments

    Now you educated yourself. You’ve broken down your big goal into a set of small goals, small experiments that you can perform with variables that are as isolated as possible. While getting educated and breaking down your goals, you also have to write down the hypotheses for every experiment and define the general terms of how you will perform the experiment.

    Practical examples

    Here’s an actual example from my personal life (simplified in order to not make this article too long):

    Hypothesis 1: I prefer individual sports over team sports. To prove the hypothesis, I will try three individual (fitness, hiking, golf) and three team sports (basketball, volleyball, hockey). I will do every sport five times for one hour. I will measure my overall satisfaction, how good I am at a specific sport, and how it helps me with my health goals, like gaining mass for example. Validated – I like individual sports more.

    Hypothesis 2: The individual sports that would suit me best are fitness, running, boxing, crossfit, golf, karate, swimming and hiking. I will do every sport five times for one hour. I will measure my overall satisfaction, how good I am at a specific sport and how it helps me with my health goals, like gaining mass for example. The individual sports that I like and that meet my other goals best are fitness, hiking, swimming. These three were validated, other rejected for various reasons.

    Hypothesis 3: Since I’m in bad shape, I will be too tired if I start training three times per week. I’ll train three times a week for two weeks and measure my energy levels. Rejected – I can work out three times per week without a problem. My energy levels are even higher. I will try training four times per week after 1 month.

    Hypothesis 4: I will make better progress with a personal trainer in the gym. I will buy a package to work with a professional trainer for a month and compare my performance results to one month of training by myself. Validated – Personal trainers show me how to do exercises correctly and boost my motivation. My progress is also 10 % faster. After two months, I will see how well I work alone, following a new program prepared by a personal trainer.

    Hypothesis 5: My motivation is better if I have a buddy to work out with. For 5 times, I will try to work out alone in the gym, and for 5 times with a training partner and compare my results. I will measure my motivation levels, the quality of the workout and other factors. Rejected – Scheduling, talking and drinks after the workout aren’t really helping me.

    I suggest that after writing down a hypothesis, you go into details of how you will measure results, what kind of data you will collect, what are the terms for a hypothesis to be validated or rejected, how you will perform the experiment, and so on. It’s extremely fun to play with designing experiments and then actually doing them.

    Comparing two options test

    Data collection and analysis

    There are several ways you can gather and analyze the data and measure results when conducting experiments in your personal life. Here are a few examples of different types of metrics:

    • Actionable metrics – metrics that help you make decisions and improve yourself
    • Vanity metrics – metrics that only stroke your ego and don’t help you at all
    • Qualitative metrics – insights you gather
    • Quantitate metrics – information that can be measured with numbers
    • Exploratory metrics – speculations about what could happen
    • Reporting metrics – comparing actual results to a plan
    • Leading metrics – predicting the future
    • Lagging metrics – describing the past

    I call all qualitative, exploratory and leading metrics soft metrics, because they give you just a general sense of where you were, where you are and where you’re going. On the other hand, quantitative, reporting and lagging metrics are hardcore metrics, because they show you the truth if measured correctly.

    As you will find soon, the quantitative metrics are the coldest ones, because they always show the truth. But you have to avoid vanity metrics at all costs.

    Here are examples of metrics for different areas of life you can use:

    Health Money
    • Exercise frequency
    • Potential progress of illness
    • Managing your body weak points
    • Regular blood test
    • Body composition (% of fat, muscle size)
    • Aerobic endurance (run a mile, VO2 max)
    • Muscular endurance (push-up test, plank test)
    • Muscular strength (one-rep max)
    • Flexibility (yoga poses)
    • Personal income statement
      • Earned income
      • Passive income
      • Portfolio income
    • Expenses
    • Taxes
    • Monthly plus/minus
    • Net-worth
      • Assets
      • Doodads
      • Liabilities (Debt)
    Career Relationships
    • Your company position (employment contract vs. organizational chart)
    • Public influence (number of interviews, public ratings)
    • Social media influence (Klout score)
    • Work enjoyment (from 1 to 10)
    • Professional connections
    • Your legacy (number of positive ideas that influenced local/global society)
    • Number of close friends you have
    • Time spent with the people you love
    • How much you do for your partner (massage, dinner, etc.)
    • How much you get out of a relationship (giving and receiving must be in balance)
    • How often you say I love you
    • How often you give a compliment to your partner
    • How often you make love
    Competences Mind/Emotions
    • Number of books you read
    • Number of seminars you visit
    • Domain knowledge you possess
    • Number of skills you master
    • Number of tech skills
    • Number of creative ideas you have
    • Your IQ
    • Your EQ
    • How well you are able to control your mind (your maximum meditating time)
    • Your daily Happiness index
    • Number of negative thoughts daily (with use of emotional accounting)
    • Dominating cognitive distortions
    • Number of new things you tried in life
    • Number of breathtaking experiences you have encountered etc.
    • Other metrics as part of your life strategy (countries you traveled to, number of languages you speak etc.)

    How you should measure your success in life? Compare…

    • Your current metrics on different life areas
    • Your past metrics on different life areas (past month, year etc.)
    • Don’t compare yourself to others too much (only healthy competition is okay I guess)

    There are many ways how you can gather data. You can make your scores on individually prepared tables like the happiness index. You can use many different apps and devices for biofeedback. You can measure and note data in a spreadsheet and then analyze it. You can perform interviews or even do online surveys and tests.

    Here are a few ideas for gathering data and conducting experiments (with examples):

    • Try and do rating (rate how much you like a certain sport or a diet or people’s characteristics)
    • Conduct an interview or organize a focus group (how it’s like to work at a certain occupation)
    • Do an online survey (how to name your book, what kind of a service people would buy from you)
    • Role-playing (to understand how somebody else is feeling)
    • Diary analysis (analyze your diary to see with whom you feel the best)
    • A/B tests (writing down all the pros and cons of two computers you want to buy)
    • Cognitive walkthrough (imagine yourself with completely new life settings)
    • Competitive testing (analyze how well you are qualified for a certain job compared to the competition and where you need to improve)
    • Idea crowding (gather ideas for how you can improve from people you know and trust)
    • Historical data (analyze your weight for the past three months to see where you’re going)

    There are so many ways how you can experiment in life. You just have to be a little bit creative. The more experiments you do, the more ideas you get for testing new things. As always, the first time is the hardest, but then a whole new world opens to you.

    Homework
    Template

    Help yourself with the template and do your first experiments in personal life

    To make things much easier for you, I prepared a template for you, as always. I suggest you choose one of the experiments listed below, open the template and design your first experiments. Get educated, break your big goal down into small experiments, write down hypotheses and how you will perform the experiments, and then just start playing.

    I promise it will be fun.

    Here you can download the template:

    [emaillocker]

    • Experiments in personal life – Template (xls)

    [/emaillocker]

    The best ideas for your first experiment:Einstein Albert

    • Finding one exercise you dislike the least and that you can perform three times per week
    • Finding two extremely healthy foods you can add to your diet and eat every day
    • Finding one extremely healthy dish you can cook all by yourself
    • Finding one way to earn more money
    • Finding five ways to save more money every month
    • Finding one topic that interests you to the point where you can read one book per month on the topic
    • Finding one way how you can improve the relationship with your spouse
    • Gathering and ranking all the ideas for improving yourself
    • Gathering and ranking 50 ideas for how you can help the company you work for grow faster
    • Finding one way how you can play and relax more in life
    • Finding one way how you can improve your productivity

    Good luck with experimenting. Just please don’t turn into a crazy scientist.

  • Don’t worry about failure, because you only have to be right once

    In almost every blog post, I emphasize that you have to search for your personal fits before you commit to or brutally focus on anything.

    The reason for that is to not set your life strategy based on naivety and wrong assumptions, but to really get to know yourself and your environment with mini experiments, which enables you to shape your life strategy based on superior insights, immediate feedback and actionable metrics.

    Consequently, you can adjust more quickly and focus on what really brings progress, success and happiness.

    It’s very well proven that agile and lean strategy works not only in the startup world, but also among big brands, non-profit organizations and other business entities as well as in personal life as this blog teaches you. And we must not forget that the agile and lean methodologies are taught at the best business schools in the World.

    There is only one huge problem with this strategy.

    You must have the guts to experiment, you must have the courage to try hundreds of different things and you must be prepared to fail. You must be prepared to learn through failure and put your ego aside. You have to admit to yourself that you’re wrong, that you don’t know anything. At least in the beginning.

    In addition to that, you also need a little bit of scientific nature. You must be curious, you need the desire to try different things, to understand the world as well as possible, and you must be eager to gain superior insights about yourself and what you want out of life. You also need a set of metrics and a framework to decide when to persevere and when to pivot.

    You almost always have to face some kind of apathy before you find your fit, which means that following the AgileLeanLife strategy requires quite a lot of resilience, persistence and faith in the process. But there is some very good news when we talk about apathy.

    Much like there’s the rule that you are always wrong before you are right, in the same way there is a rule that you only have to be right once. Once you find your fit, you definitely still face different problems and challenges, but your life gets much easier. You know why and for what to fight. Your life mission becomes more important and huge than anything else in life.

    Let’s go step by step and build the case for why you only have to be right once.

    Why does finding the right fit matter so much?

    The only way to be really successful in any area of life is first finding your own fit. Some people are lucky enough that their parents, teachers or mentors see their potential and orientate them onto the right path towards their fit, but in most cases you have to find it once you enter the adult life.

    Values, which show what’s important to you and what you value, are what determines whether you fit with something or not. And your talents and other personality traits also play a big role. Anyway, when you find the right fit, you just know it.

    When you find it, passion awakens in you. You find yourself in something. You know that you can be successful in this. You see potential. You start to flourish and consider yourself lucky.

    I’ve seen people working in companies where they fit in and where they don’t. The difference in their level of happiness, productivity, motivation etc. is like night and day. I’ve seen people struggle with a sport just because it was supposed to help them lose weight the fastest, and people who were doing a sport they’re talented for and really like. The first ones gave up very soon, the second ones made real lifestyle changes.

    I’ve seen people who settled for the first partner they dated as well as people who made up their minds about what kind of a partner they want and then started searching until they found someone close to that. The probability of long-term happiness is much higher for the latter. That’s why finding your personal fit is so important.

    So here’s the first rule of success in life and the road to living a good quality life.

    Find the right person to build an intimate relationship with. Find a person for whom all the struggle is really worth it; and it will be worth it. Find a career that really suits you best, one that you’re passionate about and where you can really deliver the value added. In the same way, find your perfect diet, a sport you like, a group of people who support you and where you fit in, and so on.

    In every single life area put in the effort to find your perfect fit, the thing that is part of your DNA and on which you can build a successful life. Successful people find their fits, unsuccessful people are trying to be something they’re not or do things that lie far away from their talents.

    Hitting target

    You find your fit through the search mode

    I hope finding your fits makes sense to you. But how do you do that? You find your fit using the search mode.

    The idea of the search mode is that you consciously prepare yourself through a series of failures that will hurt a lot, but will open to you the path to validated learning about yourself and your environment. The search mode represents a mindset and a somewhat scientific and systematic approach to finding your fit.

    • You go to a several dates that don’t work out
    • You work at a few companies that just aren’t for you
    • You try a few different occupations and suck at them
    • You buy yourself a thing in hope that will make you happy but it doesn’t
    • All these things hurt, but they enable you to learn about yourself

    The first characteristic of the search mode is a special mindset. In the search mode, you shouldn’t have any expectations, you shouldn’t make any commitments and you shouldn’t do any hard work.

    In the search phase, you just try, experiment, observe, reflect and learn about yourself and the world. The most important thing in this phase is to have no fixed ideas and no expectations at all. The key thing is to not to get too ego invested.

    The second special characteristic of the search mode is the approach. Your only job in the search mode is to test the assumptions you’ve written down, correct them, and try different things. The key is to stay 100 % flexible and open-minded and, as mentioned, not invested in anything. Because the more you get invested, the more inflexible you become.

    In practical terms, that means you should have a spreadsheet or a list of paper, where you write down:

    • What your assumption about yourself or the world is (I think the vegetarian diet would work for me)
    • How you will put your assumption to the test (I won’t eat meat for 3 months.)
    • How you will measure results (blood test, happiness index, energy levels etc.)
    • In which case you will decide to persevere and in which to pivot
    • A list of additional experiments you can make after you finish this one

    The key thing you have to do is to do regular reflections when you’re performing the experiments. That is the most valuable part of the process.

    Before marking a hypothesis as validated or rejected, you should ask yourself what you’ve learned, what you’ll test next, how you’ll change your plans, and so on. A search mode without deep and systematic reflection has very little value.

    Again, if you don’t have a piece of paper with the key findings and insights, and if you don’t write down what you’ve learnt, you’re missing the point of the search mode.

    Only after you find your fit in the search phase do you start executing. Sometimes it may take a few months to find you fit, sometimes a few years. After you find your fit, you go from the search mode to the execution mode. You set strong foundations, have laser focus, commit fully, start working hard and achieving your goals. You optimize, improve, and measure your progress with very detailed and execution type of metrics.

    There are five big problems you have to face in the search mode:

    • You can easily get stuck in the analysis-paralysis.
    • You see learning only as a good excuse and thus there is no real validated learning.
    • You have emotional problems dealing with uncertainty, because you don’t trust the process, yourself or others enough.
    • You stick to things that don’t work, because your mind is not flexible enough or you get tired.
    • You expect short-term results that are rarely achievable.

    All these five problems aren’t easy to deal with. But by far the hardest thing you have to face is the apathy before finding your fit.

    In the search mode you really have to face apathy

    The process before you find your fit is really painful and psychologically demanding. It’s called the apathy before finding your fit. Here are the main reasons that cause apathy:

    • You try a new thing and it doesn’t work. You try a new one, failure again.
    • Then you think you’ve found something good, but in the next step, you realize you haven’t.
    • From time to time, you realize how delusional and wrong you were and your ego suffers.
    • It almost always takes longer than expected and it costs more than you plan.
    • You need to sit down, analyze and be very systematic. Not to mention all the rejections you have to face.

    This search phase really is best described with the quote that success is going from failure to failure without giving up. The whole process before finding your fit sucks even more in the beginning; because in the beginning, you’re a newbie and your competences and skills aren’t that good.

    For example, you’ve just gathered the courage to start dating, but your dating skills suck, so you get rejected again and again.

    But apathy is the necessary part. It’s the life test of whether you really want something and whether you’re prepared to fight for it. It’s a test of whether you’re able to get out of the Valley of Death or not. The alternative is not good.

    If you don’t manage to get out of the Valley of Death, you turn into a zombie and your life turns to shit. On a more positive note, the apathy phase is also the part of the process where you learn and grow the most.

    One more thing you must keep in mind. The worse that your starting position is, the more time it’ll take to find your fit. The worse that your starting position is, the longer the apathy will probably last.

    A worse position simply means that you don’t yet know yourself and what you really want, that you lack resources, competences, leverages, and so on. In other words, you have to work harder for success if your starting point sucks.

    The best news and a motivational thought to deal with apathy is the fact that you only have to be right once.

    You only have to be right once

    But you only have to be right once

    You need to develop ONE competence based on your talents that is in high demand and low supply. You need to find ONE spouse who fits you perfectly and you can build a dream life together. You need to find ONE sport that you don’t dislike and have no troubles doing daily. You have to find ONE diet that enables you to maintain weight and feel energized. You need ONE business idea that works.

    When you find your fit, you have something you can build your success on, which can last for years or even a lifetime. In addition to that, when you find your perfect fit, there is more room for common human errors (well, some of them). The perfect fit is the best cure for your mistakes.

    Don’t worry about failure; you only have to be right once.” – Drew Houston, Dropbox founder and CEO

    But here’s the thing. The moment you’re right, all the bitter past failures turn into a winning strategy. You finally manage to climb to the top of the world.

    Other people see you as lucky, but you know that finding your fit was a very carefully orchestrated process. You know you deserve it, because you put in all the hard and smart work. You know you succeeded because you joined the club of people who are willing to go through the apathy of the search mode.

    Apathy and failure aren’t something that lasts forever. It’s something you pass by, if you learn quickly enough. You are wrong and wrong until you are right. Then you become a true winner. Luckily, you only have to be right once.